

Premier League
•Round 37

Aston Villa
Finished
4 : 2
15th May 2026, 15:00

Liverpool
Liverpool to win


Author
Fact checker James Hoffmann
Liverpool to win.
Aston Villa versus Liverpool in Premier League currently points towards Liverpool as the deterministic draft lean.
The best available 1X2 price makes Liverpool the current favourite at 2.16. Recent form also leans that way: the away side scored 12 and conceded 11 across the last 5 matches, while the opponent conceded 10. Current confidence sits in the medium band.
The sampled head-to-head run reads 0 home wins, 2 draws, and 3 away wins. The table gap stands at 0 points between Aston Villa and Liverpool. Liverpool bring a recent form line of DLWWL from the sampled run, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded.
Liverpool scored 12 goals in the recent sample, while Aston Villa conceded 10 across the same span. Table pressure remains live, with positions 5 and 4 bringing different expectations into kickoff.
Deterministic verdict: Liverpool to win. Confidence is medium, with a primary score lean of 1-2.

Aston Villa
1 : 2
Liverpool


Match already started.

Aston Villa
VS
Liverpool

Ended, 15 May 2026
4
2
FT, 1 Nov 2025
2
0
FT, 19 Feb 2025
2
2
FT, 9 Nov 2024
2
0
FT, 13 May 2024
3
3
Goals Scored
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.3
Goals difference
+7
Avg. goals per match
2.8
The sampled head-to-head run reads 0 home wins, 2 draws, and 3 away wins. The table gap stands at 0 points between Aston Villa and Liverpool. Liverpool bring a recent form line of DLWWL from the sampled run, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded.
Ended, 10 May 2026
2
2
Ended, 7 May 2026
4
0
Ended, 3 May 2026
1
2
Ended, 30 Apr 2026
1
0
Ended, 25 Apr 2026
1
0
Based on recent previews and team reports.

Aston Villa
Confirmed: 4-2-3-1
🧤Goalkeeper:
Emiliano Martínez
🛡️Back line:
Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne
⚙️ Midfield:
Victor Lindelöf, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendía
⚡ Attack:
Ollie Watkins

Liverpool
Confirmed: 4-2-3-1
🧤Goalkeeper:
Giorgi Mamardashvili
🛡️Back line:
Joe Gomez, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez
⚙️ Midfield:
Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Curtis Jones, Dominik Szoboszlai, Rio Ngumoha
⚡ Attack:
Cody Gakpo
⚔️
Liverpool scored 12 goals in the recent sample, while Aston Villa conceded 10 across the same span. Table pressure remains live, with positions 5 and 4 bringing different expectations into kickoff.







👉
Best available 1X2 prices in the current snapshot are home 2.62, draw 3.35, and away 2.16.