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Premier League

Round 37

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Finished

4 : 2

15th May 2026, 15:00

Liverpool

Liverpool

LOSS
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Betting Tips

Fact checker James Hoffmann

Calendar icon09 Jun 2026

Liverpool to win.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Aston Villa versus Liverpool in Premier League currently points towards Liverpool as the deterministic draft lean.

The best available 1X2 price makes Liverpool the current favourite at 2.16. Recent form also leans that way: the away side scored 12 and conceded 11 across the last 5 matches, while the opponent conceded 10. Current confidence sits in the medium band.

The sampled head-to-head run reads 0 home wins, 2 draws, and 3 away wins. The table gap stands at 0 points between Aston Villa and Liverpool. Liverpool bring a recent form line of DLWWL from the sampled run, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded.

Liverpool scored 12 goals in the recent sample, while Aston Villa conceded 10 across the same span. Table pressure remains live, with positions 5 and 4 bringing different expectations into kickoff.

Deterministic verdict: Liverpool to win. Confidence is medium, with a primary score lean of 1-2.

Key reasons

  • The best available 1X2 price makes Liverpool the current favourite at 2.16.
  • Recent form also leans that way: the away side scored 12 and conceded 11 across the last 5 matches, while the opponent conceded 10.

Risk factors

  • Data gaps remain in the current snapshot: goal_stats, key_battles, lineups, match_result_1x2, statistics, team_news, team_stats.
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1 : 2

Liverpool

Liverpool
Liverpool to win
1xbet
Do you agree with my prediction?
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Match already started.

Premier League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
ArsenalArsenal
38
26
7
5
71
27
+44
85
2
Manchester CityManchester City
38
23
9
6
77
35
+42
78
3
Manchester UnitedManchester United
38
20
11
7
69
50
+19
71
4
Aston VillaAston Villa
38
19
8
11
56
49
+7
65
5
LiverpoolLiverpool
38
17
9
12
63
53
+10
60
6
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
38
13
18
7
58
54
+4
57
7
SunderlandSunderland
38
14
12
12
42
48
-6
54
8
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
38
14
11
13
52
46
+6
53
9
BrentfordBrentford
38
14
11
13
55
52
+3
53
10
ChelseaChelsea
38
14
10
14
58
52
+6
52
11
FulhamFulham
38
15
7
16
47
51
-4
52
12
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United
38
14
7
17
53
55
-2
49
13
EvertonEverton
38
13
10
15
47
50
-3
49
14
Leeds UnitedLeeds United
38
11
14
13
49
56
-7
47
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
38
11
12
15
41
51
-10
45
16
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
38
11
11
16
48
51
-3
44
17
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
38
10
11
17
48
57
-9
41
18
West Ham UnitedWest Ham United
38
10
9
19
46
65
-19
39
19
BurnleyBurnley
38
4
10
24
38
75
-37
22
20
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
38
3
11
24
27
68
-41
20

Head to Head

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

VS

Liverpool

Liverpool
1Wins
2Draws
3Wins
Premier LeaguePremier League

Ended, 15 May 2026

Aston VillaAston Villa

4

LiverpoolLiverpool

2

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 1 Nov 2025

LiverpoolLiverpool

2

Aston VillaAston Villa

0

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 19 Feb 2025

Aston VillaAston Villa

2

LiverpoolLiverpool

2

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 9 Nov 2024

LiverpoolLiverpool

2

Aston VillaAston Villa

0

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 13 May 2024

Aston VillaAston Villa

3

LiverpoolLiverpool

3

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

56

1.5

Goals Conceded

49

1.3

Goals difference

+7

Avg. goals per match

2.8

History & Context

LiverpoolAston Villa

The sampled head-to-head run reads 0 home wins, 2 draws, and 3 away wins. The table gap stands at 0 points between Aston Villa and Liverpool. Liverpool bring a recent form line of DLWWL from the sampled run, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded.

Last 5 Matches

Premier LeaguePremier League

Ended, 10 May 2026

BurnleyBurnley

2

Aston VillaAston Villa

2

Europa LeagueEuropa League

Ended, 7 May 2026

Aston VillaAston Villa

4

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

0

Premier LeaguePremier League

Ended, 3 May 2026

Aston VillaAston Villa

1

Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur

2

Europa LeagueEuropa League

Ended, 30 Apr 2026

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

1

Aston VillaAston Villa

0

Premier LeaguePremier League

Ended, 25 Apr 2026

FulhamFulham

1

Aston VillaAston Villa

0

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Confirmed: 4-2-3-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Emiliano Martínez

🛡️Back line:

Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne

⚙️ Midfield:

Victor Lindelöf, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendía

⚡ Attack:

Ollie Watkins

Liverpool

Liverpool

Confirmed: 4-2-3-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Giorgi Mamardashvili

🛡️Back line:

Joe Gomez, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez

⚙️ Midfield:

Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Curtis Jones, Dominik Szoboszlai, Rio Ngumoha

⚡ Attack:

Cody Gakpo

Key Battles

⚔️

Liverpool scored 12 goals in the recent sample, while Aston Villa conceded 10 across the same span. Table pressure remains live, with positions 5 and 4 bringing different expectations into kickoff.

Best Odds

Aston Villa to win
1xbet
Draw
1xbet
Liverpool to win
1xbet
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Both teams to score: Yes
888Sport
Both teams to score: No
22Bet

What these Odds Say

👉

Best available 1X2 prices in the current snapshot are home 2.62, draw 3.35, and away 2.16.

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