

Serie A
•Round 38

Parma
Finished
1 : 0
24th May 2026, 09:00

Sassuolo
Sassuolo to win


Author
Fact checker Aaron Jones
Sassuolo to win.
Parma versus Sassuolo in Serie A currently points towards Sassuolo as the deterministic draft lean.
The best available 1X2 price makes Sassuolo the current favourite at 2.40. They also hold the stronger table position, with 49 points versus 42 for the opponent. Recent form also leans that way: the away side scored 11 and conceded 9 across the last 5 matches, while the opponent conceded 8. Current confidence sits in the low band.
The sampled head-to-head run reads 0 home wins, 1 draws, and 0 away wins. The table gap stands at 7 points between Parma and Sassuolo. Sassuolo bring a recent form line of LLWDW from the sampled run, with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded.
Sassuolo scored 11 goals in the recent sample, while Parma conceded 8 across the same span. Table pressure remains live, with positions 13 and 11 bringing different expectations into kickoff.
Deterministic verdict: Sassuolo to win. Confidence is low, with a primary score lean of 1-2.

Parma
1 : 2
Sassuolo


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Parma
VS
Sassuolo

Ended, 24 May 2026
1
0
FT, 3 Jan 2026
1
1
Goals Scored
0.7
Goals Conceded
1.2
Goals difference
-18
Avg. goals per match
1.9
The sampled head-to-head run reads 0 home wins, 1 draws, and 0 away wins. The table gap stands at 7 points between Parma and Sassuolo. Sassuolo bring a recent form line of LLWDW from the sampled run, with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded.
Ended, 17 May 2026
1
0
Ended, 10 May 2026
2
3
Ended, 3 May 2026
2
0
Ended, 25 Apr 2026
1
0
Ended, 18 Apr 2026
0
1
Based on recent previews and team reports.

Parma
Confirmed: 3-5-2
🧤Goalkeeper:
Edoardo Corvi
🛡️Back line:
Alessandro Circati, Mariano Troilo, Lautaro Valenti
⚙️ Midfield:
Sascha Britschgi, Christian Ordóñez, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Mandela Keita, Emanuele Valeri
⚡ Attack:
Mateo Pellegrino, Daniel Mikolajewski

Sassuolo
Confirmed: 4-3-3
🧤Goalkeeper:
Stefano Turati
🛡️Back line:
Woyo Coulibaly, Tommaso Macchioni, Jay Idzes, Ulisses Garcia
⚙️ Midfield:
Kristian Thorstvedt, Luca Lipani, Ismaël Koné
⚡ Attack:
Domenico Berardi, Andrea Pinamonti, Armand Laurienté
⚔️
Sassuolo scored 11 goals in the recent sample, while Parma conceded 8 across the same span. Table pressure remains live, with positions 13 and 11 bringing different expectations into kickoff.







👉
Best available 1X2 prices in the current snapshot are home 2.56, draw 3.08, and away 2.40.