

Serie A
•Round 36

AC Milan
Finished
2 : 3
10th May 2026, 14:45

Atalanta
AC Milan to win


Author
Fact checker Steven Madden
AC Milan to win.
AC Milan host Atalanta in the Serie A, and the usable Test data leans toward AC Milan rather than a pure coin-flip call.
AC Milan host Atalanta in the Serie A, and the usable Test data leans toward AC Milan rather than a pure coin-flip call. The best price on the favourite is 2.04, which is firm enough to matter but not so short that it erases match-state risk. AC Milan are 3rd on 67 points from 35 matches, with a goal difference of +19. Atalanta are 7th on 55 points from 35 matches, with a goal difference of +15. AC Milan's last-five form reads LDWLL, with 2 goals scored and 9 conceded across that run. Atalanta's last-five form reads DLDLW, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded across that run. The head-to-head sample sits at 0 wins for AC Milan, 2 draws, and 3 wins for Atalanta. That combination keeps the official lean with AC Milan, while the missing lineups and richer stats stop this from becoming an all-in confidence call.
The head-to-head sample sits at 0 wins for AC Milan, 2 draws, and 3 wins for Atalanta.
AC Milan come in with last-five form LDWLL and Atalanta with DLDLW, which keeps the recent-form layer active alongside the market view.
The table context also matters here: AC Milan are on 67 points and Atalanta on 55, so the standings gap does not leave much room for a flat performance.
AC Milan's recent attack - 2 goals in the last five - against a Atalanta defence that has conceded 8 in the same run.
Atalanta's response threat - 10 recent goals - against a AC Milan back line that has allowed 9 across its last five.
Midfield control and the opening tempo: if AC Milan settle first, the home lean grows; if Atalanta can turn this into transitions, the price edge narrows quickly.
Back AC Milan to win, with 2-1 the primary scoreline lean and 1-1 the main danger result.

AC Milan
2 : 1
Atalanta





AC Milan
VS
Atalanta

Ended, 10 May 2026
2
3
FT, 28 Oct 2025
1
1
FT, 20 Apr 2025
0
1
FT, 6 Dec 2024
2
1
FT, 25 Feb 2024
1
1
Goals Scored
1.4
Goals Conceded
0.9
Goals difference
+18
Avg. goals per match
2.3
The head-to-head sample sits at 0 wins for AC Milan, 2 draws, and 3 wins for Atalanta.
AC Milan come in with last-five form LDWLL and Atalanta with DLDLW, which keeps the recent-form layer active alongside the market view.
The table context also matters here: AC Milan are on 67 points and Atalanta on 55, so the standings gap does not leave much room for a flat performance.
Ended, 3 May 2026
2
0
Ended, 26 Apr 2026
0
0
Ended, 19 Apr 2026
0
1
Ended, 11 Apr 2026
0
3
Ended, 6 Apr 2026
1
0
Based on recent previews and team reports.

AC Milan
Confirmed: 3-5-2
🧤Goalkeeper:
Mike Maignan
🛡️Back line:
Koni De Winter, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlović
⚙️ Midfield:
Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Samuele Ricci, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi
⚡ Attack:
Santiago Gimenez, Rafael Leão

Atalanta
Confirmed: 3-4-2-1
🧤Goalkeeper:
Marco Carnesecchi
🛡️Back line:
Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac
⚙️ Midfield:
Davide Zappacosta, Marten de Roon, Éderson, Nicola Zalewski
⚡ Attack:
Charles De Ketelaere, Giacomo Raspadori, Nikola Krstović
⚔️
AC Milan's recent attack - 2 goals in the last five - against a Atalanta defence that has conceded 8 in the same run.
⚔️
Atalanta's response threat - 10 recent goals - against a AC Milan back line that has allowed 9 across its last five.
⚔️Midfield control and the opening tempo
if AC Milan settle first, the home lean grows; if Atalanta can turn this into transitions, the price edge narrows quickly.







👉
The best 1X2 prices are AC Milan 2.04, draw 3.16, and Atalanta 3.09.
👉
Both Teams To Score also leans Yes at 1.61.
👉
The 2.5-goal line favours Over at 1.80.