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Serie A

Round 1

Bologna

Bologna

12:30

24th Aug 2026

31°
Lazio

Lazio

Pick
Not Started
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Bologna vs Lazio Prediction: Betting Tips, Lineups & AI Predictions

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon22 Aug 2026

Bologna's stronger recent results and home-favourite status make them the marginal 1X2 preference.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Bologna have the early edge for this Serie A opener at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, but Lazio look capable of making it properly awkward. Bologna are 2.22 favourites after a lively closing five-match run, while Lazio also showed enough attacking output to keep this from feeling like a straightforward home call. My match prediction is Bologna to win 2-1. Here's where the betting angles sit.

Here's the thing: Bologna's recent results offer the cleaner platform, even if this is hardly a game to treat as a formality. Their listed final five Serie A matches produced two wins, two draws and one loss. The away wins against Atalanta and Napoli stand out, while the 3-3 draw with Inter shows the sort of attacking ceiling they can reach. At home, though, the same sequence also included a goalless draw with Cagliari and a 2-0 defeat to Roma, so I wouldn't oversell the reliability of the pick.

Lazio arrive with a more uneven five-game sample: two wins, a draw and two defeats. They scored seven times in that stretch, including two against Pisa, two away to Cremonese and three against Udinese. That makes the both-teams-to-score angle appealing to me. The issue is the defensive return, with 10 conceded across those five fixtures and defeats to Roma and Inter both coming without a Lazio goal.

I have Bologna as the narrow call because the home side's recent wins were the more persuasive results and the 1X2 market agrees, pricing them at 2.22. Still, Lazio at 3.65 are not priced like a side with no chance, while the 3.25 draw is a live alternative in an opening-round contest. Bologna 2-1 is my plausible score it fits Bologna's marginal edge, Lazio's scoring threat and the possibility of a game that opens up rather than settles into a low-event stalemate.

Bologna are the narrow home-win lean, with both sides capable of contributing in a competitive opener.

Key reasons

  • Bologna finished their listed five-match run with two wins, two draws and one defeat, including wins away to Atalanta and Napoli.
  • Lazio's listed last five included two defeats and 10 goals conceded, despite scoring in three of those matches.
  • The 1X2 prices make Bologna the market favourite at 2.22, ahead of the draw at 3.25 and Lazio at 3.65.

Risk factors

  • Bologna also conceded seven goals across their listed last five, so a home clean sheet is far from assured.
  • This is Round 1, leaving plenty of scope for the result to be tighter or less fluent than the previous results suggest.
Bologna

Bologna

2 : 1

Lazio

Lazio
Bologna to win
Dafabet
Both teams to score: Yes
Marathonbet
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Do you agree with my prediction?

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Bologna to win
    21
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Bologna to win
    21

What Is Your Prediction?

Bologna
Lazio

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Bologna to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Lazio to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Serie A Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
GenoaGenoa
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
VeneziaVenezia
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
ComoComo
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
UdineseUdinese
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
ParmaParma
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
CagliariCagliari
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
TorinoTorino
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
MonzaMonza
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
SassuoloSassuolo
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
FrosinoneFrosinone
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
LecceLecce
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
RomaRoma
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
InterInter
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
AtalantaAtalanta
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
15
AC MilanAC Milan
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
16
JuventusJuventus
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
LazioLazio
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
18
NapoliNapoli
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
19
FiorentinaFiorentina
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
BolognaBologna
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

0

0.0

Goals Conceded

0

0.0

Goals difference

0

Avg. goals per match

0.0

Last 5 Matches

Serie ASerie A

FT, 23 May 2026

BolognaBologna

3

InterInter

3

Serie ASerie A

FT, 17 May 2026

AtalantaAtalanta

0

BolognaBologna

1

Serie ASerie A

FT, 11 May 2026

NapoliNapoli

2

BolognaBologna

3

Serie ASerie A

FT, 3 May 2026

BolognaBologna

0

CagliariCagliari

0

Serie ASerie A

FT, 25 Apr 2026

BolognaBologna

0

RomaRoma

2

Best Odds

Bologna to win
Dafabet
Draw
Marathonbet
Lazio to win
CloudBet
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: No
bet365

What these Odds Say

👉

Bologna's 2.22 price implies roughly a 45% raw win probability, making them clear but not dominant favourites.

👉

The draw at 3.25 and Lazio at 3.65 imply a competitive 1X2 market rather than a one-sided home expectation.

👉

Under 2.5 goals at 1.66 is priced shorter than over 2.5 at 2.26, while BTTS Yes and No are near-even at 1.92 and 1.90.

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