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Bundesliga

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Round 5

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Finished

2 : 2

(HT 0 - 0)

9th Oct 2026, 14:30

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

LOSS
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Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction: Betting Tips, Lineups & AI Predictions

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon05 Oct 2026

Dortmund remain the clear result lean after four league wins from four, with the home price broadly stable around 1.39 to 1.40.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Dortmund are still the pick to beat Bremen, and the late information hasn't changed that view. Confirmed starters include Guirassy, Beier and Fábio Silva for Dortmund, while Füllkrug, Grüll and Dinkçi are listed for Bremen. The home price is broadly unchanged at 1.40, while BTTS Yes has drifted slightly to 1.70. Here's the thing: the goals angle still has plenty behind it.

The original Dortmund win lean stands. They are top after four matches with 12 points, nine goals scored and only two conceded, while their supplied five-match form list is all wins. That is a strong enough foundation for the home selection, especially with Dortmund having won 3-0 against Paderborn, 2-0 against Hamburger SV and 1-0 at Stuttgart in that sequence. Bremen have made a decent start themselves, taking seven points from four, but their eight goals scored and eight conceded underline how open their matches have been.

The confirmed starters do not provide a reason to move away from the published view. Guirassy, Beier, Fábio Silva, Nmecha and Veerman are among Dortmund's listed starters, while Bremen's group includes Füllkrug, Grüll, Dinkçi, Reis and Regeer. Those names support the existing expectation of attacking threat on both sides rather than suggesting a major late setback to the favourite.

The market is also stable where it matters most: Dortmund have moved only from 1.39 to 1.40, which is negligible and keeps them firmly priced as favourites. Over 2.5 goals remains 1.37, so there has been no meaningful shift away from a high-scoring expectation. BTTS Yes has eased from 1.61 to 1.70, a modest drift that slightly reduces the market's confidence in Bremen scoring, but not enough to undo their recent output. Dortmund to win remains the cleanest call, with 3-1 still the score lean.

Borussia Dortmund to win

Key reasons

  • Dortmund lead the table with four wins from four, scoring nine goals and conceding only two.
  • Dortmund have won each of their last five listed matches, including four clean sheets.
  • Bremen have scored eight times in four league games but have also conceded eight, pointing to an open test against the leaders.

Risk factors

  • Bremen arrive with two wins and a draw from their first four league matches, including a 3-1 victory over RB Leipzig.
  • Dortmund's recent 3-2 win at Hoffenheim showed that opponents can still find goals against them.
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3 : 1

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund to win
Interwetten
Both teams to score: Yes
Marathonbet
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
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AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Home
    21
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Home
    31

What Is Your Prediction?

Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen

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Borussia Dortmund to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Werder Bremen to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Bundesliga Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München
6
4
2
0
22
5
+17
14
2
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
6
4
2
0
11
4
+7
14
3
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
6
4
1
1
15
6
+9
13
4
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
6
4
1
1
16
9
+7
13
5
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
6
3
1
2
14
10
+4
10
6
ElversbergElversberg
6
3
1
2
12
11
+1
10
7
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
6
3
0
3
16
11
+5
9
8
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
6
2
3
1
12
12
0
9
9
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
6
3
0
3
6
15
-9
9
10
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
6
2
2
2
16
12
+4
8
11
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
6
2
2
2
10
16
-6
8
12
FC KölnFC Köln
6
2
1
3
8
11
-3
7
13
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
6
2
0
4
8
10
-2
6
14
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
6
2
0
4
11
14
-3
6
15
Schalke 04Schalke 04
6
1
2
3
4
7
-3
5
16
PaderbornPaderborn
6
1
2
3
5
9
-4
5
17
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
6
1
2
3
5
17
-12
5
18
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
6
0
0
6
8
20
-12
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

11

1.8

Goals Conceded

4

0.7

Goals difference

+7

Avg. goals per match

2.5

Last 5 Matches

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 19 Sept 2026

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

0

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

1

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 12 Sept 2026

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

3

PaderbornPaderborn

0

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 5 Sept 2026

TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim

2

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

3

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 29 Aug 2026

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

2

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

0

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 16 May 2026

Werder BremenWerder Bremen

0

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

2

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Confirmed: 3-4-2-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Gregor Kobel

🛡️Back line:

Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck

⚙️ Midfield:

Marcel Sabitzer, Jobe Samuel Patrick Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson

⚡ Attack:

Ethan Chidiebere Nwaneri, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

Confirmed: 4-2-3-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Karl Hein

🛡️Back line:

Arthur, Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Olivier Deman

⚙️ Midfield:

Ludovit Reis, Youri Regeer, Eren Dinkçi, Chuki, Marco Grüll

⚡ Attack:

Niclas Füllkrug

Key Battles

⚔️Attack vs defence

Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier and Fábio Silva will test Marco Friedl, Amos Pieper and Olivier Deman in the most decisive penalty-area contest.,Midfield : Felix Nmecha, Joey Veerman and Daniel Svensson face Ludovit Reis, Youri Regeer and Chuki in a battle to control possession and supply.,Flanks: Daniel Svensson and Ramy Bensebaini can encounter Arthur and Olivier Deman, while Marco Grüll and Eren Dinkçi offer Bremen wide attacking outlets.

Best Odds

Borussia Dortmund to win
Interwetten
Draw
bwin
Werder Bremen to win
Marathonbet
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Both teams to score: Yes
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: No
22Bet

What these Odds Say

👉

Dortmund's win price has moved only from 1.39 to 1.40, so the market remains broadly stable and still strongly favours the home side.

👉

BTTS Yes has drifted from 1.61 to 1.70, implying slightly weaker support for both sides scoring, though Bremen's recent scoring still supports the angle.

👉

Over 2.5 goals remains priced at 1.37, indicating stable market expectations for a match with at least three goals.

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