Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe - Predictions, H2H, Lineups & Betting Tips

Prediction

Alavés host Getafe at Estadio de Mendizorroza on opening day with confirmed lineups now available and the market holding broadly stable. Alavés remain priced at 2.44, the draw at 2.81, and Getafe at 3.9. Both teams have named their expected starters, with no major surprises that alter the tactical outlook. Alavés finished last season strongly at home, while Getafe's inconsistent away form continues to be reflected in the pricing. I'm still leaning toward a narrow Alavés win in a low-scoring encounter, likely settled by a single goal, and the confirmed lineups support that view.

Start with what the numbers are telling us. Alavés at 2.44 implies around 41% before margin, Getafe at 3.9 implies roughly 26%, and the draw at 2.81 sits at about 35%. The market's pricing Alavés as mild favourites, which makes sense given home advantage and their encouraging finish to last season at Estadio de Mendizorroza. They beat Barcelona 1-0 at home in mid-May and also secured an away win at Real Oviedo, so there's recent evidence of defensive discipline and the ability to nick results when it matters. The confirmed lineups show Alavés fielding a familiar structure with Sivera in goal, a back four of Tenaglia, Koski, Jonny Otto, and Rebbach, and a midfield featuring Denis Suárez and Antonio Blanco. Toni Martínez leads the attack alongside Aitor Mañas, giving them enough pace and movement to trouble Getafe's defensive block.

Getafe's form remains harder to read cleanly. They won their final home match 1-0 against Osasuna and also beat Mallorca 3-1 at home, but sandwiched between those results were a 1-0 loss at Elche and a 2-0 home defeat to Rayo Vallecano. The away record in particular isn't convincing, with a scoreless draw at Real Oviedo their only other recent road fixture in the data. Their confirmed lineup shows David Soria in goal, a back three of Romero, Abqar, and Djené, and Martín Satriano leading the line. That suggests a side capable of grinding out results but equally vulnerable when facing organised opponents prepared to sit deep and counter. The market's also pricing under 2.5 goals at 1.32, which has shortened slightly from 1.35, indicating even stronger confidence in a low-scoring game. Both teams have shown a tendency to play tight matches, and Round 1 fixtures often lack the rhythm and sharpness needed for open, high-scoring affairs. I'm backing Alavés at 2.44 here because the price reflects the home advantage and recent momentum without being overly short, and the confirmed lineups don't change that view.

Alavés to edge a low-scoring home fixture against Getafe, likely by a one-goal margin in a match that finishes under 2.5 goals.

Deportivo Alavés

1 : 0

Getafe

Deportivo Alavés to win

2.44

Both teams to score: No

1.55

Under 2.5 Goals

1.32