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La Liga

Round 1

Espanyol

Espanyol

13:00

16th Aug 2026

30°
Levante

Levante

Pick
Not Started
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Espanyol vs Levante Betting Preview: Expert Tips, Odds & Predictions

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon14 Aug 2026

Espanyol's home momentum and Levante's defensive fragility on the road make the hosts worth backing at 2.11.

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Prediction

Espanyol open their La Liga campaign at home to Levante, priced at 2.11 for the home win, 3.3 for the draw, and 4.0 for the visitors. That implies roughly 47% for Espanyol before margin, 30% for the draw, and 25% for Levante. The market's leaning toward the hosts, and the tail-end form from last season supports it, with Espanyol winning two of their last three at the RCDE Stadium. Worth examining whether that price fully accounts for Levante's ability to score on the road, even in defeats.

Espanyol at 2.11 implies roughly 47% before overround, Levante at 4.0 implies about 25%, and the draw at 3.3 sits around 30%. The market's pricing Espanyol as moderate favourites, and the recent form backs that lean. They closed last season with a 1-1 draw against Real Sociedad at home, a 2-1 away win at Osasuna, and a 2-0 home victory over Athletic Club. That's two wins in their last three, both showing they can control games at the RCDE Stadium. Levante, meanwhile, finished with three wins in their last five, but two of those were at home, and their away record remains patchy: a 5-1 hammering at Villarreal sits alongside a 3-2 win at Celta. They can score on the road, but they leak goals doing it.

The question is whether 2.11 on Espanyol is paying you enough for a Round 1 fixture with no current-season form to lean on. My read is it's close to fair, maybe slightly short, but not wildly mispriced. Espanyol's home record from the back end of last season gives them a genuine edge here, and Levante's defensive fragility away from home is a real pattern. The market's priced this as a home win with goals likely, and I don't see much to argue against that. If I'm staking anything, I'm backing Espanyol to win, but I'm also looking at both teams to score and over 2.5 goals given how open Levante's away fixtures tend to be and how Espanyol showed late-season attacking intent at home.

Espanyol to take all three points at home in a tight opener, with goals on both sides likely given recent form and La Liga's first-round unpredictability.

Key reasons

  • Espanyol ended last season with two wins in three at the RCDE Stadium, including a clean-sheet victory over Athletic Club, showing solid home momentum heading into the new campaign.
  • Levante's recent away record is volatile, conceding five at Villarreal before winning two on the road, suggesting they can score but are vulnerable defensively on the road.
  • Both sides finished last season with mixed results, but Espanyol's home form (2W, 1D, 1L in last four at home) edges Levante's away record (2W, 2L in last four away), giving the hosts a slight edge in a Round 1 meeting.

Risk factors

  • Levante won three of their last five matches last season, including a 3-2 away win at Celta and a 3-2 home victory over Osasuna, showing they can deliver in tight, high-scoring games that could upset the home-win narrative.
  • Round 1 fixtures are notoriously hard to price cleanly, with no current-season form to lean on and both squads sitting on zero points and zero games played, meaning the market's relying heavily on last season's tail-end form rather than fresh data.
Espanyol

Espanyol

2 : 1

Levante

Levante
Espanyol to win
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
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La Liga Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
GetafeGetafe
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
MálagaMálaga
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
ValenciaValencia
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
OsasunaOsasuna
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
Real BetisReal Betis
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
EspanyolEspanyol
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
SevillaSevilla
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
ElcheElche
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
15
LevanteLevante
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
16
Real MadridReal Madrid
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
VillarrealVillarreal
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
18
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
19
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

0

0.0

Goals Conceded

0

0.0

Goals difference

0

Avg. goals per match

0.0

Last 5 Matches

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 23 May 2026

EspanyolEspanyol

1

Real SociedadReal Sociedad

1

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 17 May 2026

OsasunaOsasuna

1

EspanyolEspanyol

2

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 13 May 2026

EspanyolEspanyol

2

Athletic ClubAthletic Club

0

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 9 May 2026

SevillaSevilla

2

EspanyolEspanyol

1

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 3 May 2026

EspanyolEspanyol

0

Real MadridReal Madrid

2

Best Odds

Espanyol to win
Marathonbet
Draw
Marathonbet
Levante to win
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Under 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
WilliamHill

What these Odds Say

👉

Espanyol at 2.11 implies a 47% chance before margin, which feels consistent with their home form advantage and Levante's defensive issues on the road, though Round 1 uncertainty keeps this from being a slam-dunk short price.

👉

The draw at 3.3 is priced generously enough to reflect genuine Round 1 variance, but Espanyol's recent home wins and Levante's tendency to concede make it less appealing than the home-win or goal-based angles.

👉

Both teams to score at 1.95 and over 2.5 goals at 2.24 are consistent with Levante's high-scoring away fixtures and Espanyol's attacking home performances, suggesting the market expects goals even if it leans toward a home win.

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