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La Liga

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Round 11

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona

Finished

6 : 1

(HT 4 - 0)

31st Oct 2026, 16:00

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

WIN
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FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Odds

Fact checker Janne Kouva

Calendar icon20 Oct 2026

Barcelona remain the clear home-win lean after their scoring run, with the price only marginally shorter from 1.15 to 1.13.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Barcelona are still the clear pick against Alavés, even after the latest 1-2 defeat to Real Madrid interrupted an otherwise fierce scoring run. Confirmed starters include Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Raphinha and Lucas Boyé, so there is plenty of attacking involvement on both sides. The home price has only edged from 1.15 to 1.13, which changes very little. The interesting question is how open this becomes.

Barcelona remain the right side to back here. They are second with 27 points from 10 matches, have scored 40 goals, and their latest five league results still contain four wins alongside the 1-2 loss to Real Madrid. That run includes 5-2 at Real Betis, 3-0 against Getafe, 3-1 at Sevilla and 7-2 against Racing Santander. The original home-win view therefore still has a strong statistical base, even if the perfect-start framing no longer applies after the Madrid defeat.

The confirmed lineups give the match some added attacking interest. Barcelona start Pedri, Rodri, Fermín López, Lamine Yamal, Karim Adeyemi and Raphinha, while Alavés have Lucas Boyé and Abde Rebbach in their starting group. Alavés have taken only two points from their last five, though they have scored in three of those games and arrive following a 1-1 draw with Málaga. That keeps the both-teams-to-score angle alive rather than making a Barcelona clean sheet automatic.

There is no dramatic late market shift to challenge the original pick. Barcelona have shortened slightly from 1.15 to 1.13, a small move that maintains the strong home-favourite assessment. BTTS Yes has moved from 1.80 to 1.92, suggesting a little less market conviction in both sides scoring, while over 2.5 has barely changed from 1.24 to 1.25. For me, Barcelona to win remains the sensible core position, with a high-scoring 4-1 type of result still plausible.

FC Barcelona to win

Key reasons

  • Barcelona lead La Liga with nine wins from nine, scoring 39 goals while conceding only nine.
  • Barcelona have won each of their last five league matches, scoring 22 goals across that run.
  • Alavés have lost four of their last five league games and arrive after consecutive defeats.

Risk factors

  • Alavés have conceded only 10 goals in nine league matches, so they could make the scoreline less emphatic than expected.
  • Barcelona have conceded in four of their last five matches, leaving room for Alavés to contribute.
FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona

4 : 1

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés
FC Barcelona to win
bwin
Both teams to score: Yes
22Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Do you agree with my prediction?
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AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Home
    31
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Home
    41

What Is Your Prediction?

FC Barcelona
Deportivo Alavés

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FC Barcelona to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Deportivo Alavés to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
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Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

La Liga Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
11
10
0
1
46
12
+34
30
2
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
11
9
1
1
22
8
+14
28
3
Real MadridReal Madrid
11
9
0
2
28
10
+18
27
4
Real BetisReal Betis
11
7
2
2
18
15
+3
23
5
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
11
6
1
4
20
20
0
19
6
SevillaSevilla
11
5
2
4
17
19
-2
17
7
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
10
4
3
3
14
10
+4
15
8
Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
11
3
5
3
15
14
+1
14
9
VillarrealVillarreal
11
3
3
5
15
15
0
12
10
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
11
2
6
3
10
10
0
12
11
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
11
3
3
5
15
17
-2
12
12
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
10
3
3
4
15
20
-5
12
13
GetafeGetafe
11
3
3
5
8
16
-8
12
14
EspanyolEspanyol
11
3
2
6
13
14
-1
11
15
OsasunaOsasuna
11
3
2
6
11
22
-11
11
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
11
3
2
6
15
29
-14
11
17
ElcheElche
11
2
4
5
14
18
-4
10
18
LevanteLevante
11
2
4
5
16
21
-5
10
19
ValenciaValencia
11
2
3
6
8
17
-9
9
20
MálagaMálaga
11
0
5
6
8
21
-13
5

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

46

4.2

Goals Conceded

12

1.1

Goals difference

+34

Avg. goals per match

5.3

Last 5 Matches

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 25 Oct 2026

FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona

1

Real MadridReal Madrid

2

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 17 Oct 2026

Real BetisReal Betis

2

FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona

5

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 10 Oct 2026

FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona

3

GetafeGetafe

0

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 19 Sept 2026

SevillaSevilla

1

FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona

3

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 16 Sept 2026

FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona

7

Racing SantanderRacing Santander

2

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona

Confirmed: 4-3-3

🧤Goalkeeper:

Joan García

🛡️Back line:

Brian Fariñas, Pau Cubarsí, Frenkie de Jong, João Cancelo

⚙️ Midfield:

Fermín López, Rodri, Pedri

⚡ Attack:

Lamine Yamal, Raphinha, Karim Adeyemi

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

Confirmed: 4-5-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Antonio Sivera

🛡️Back line:

Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Ville Koski, Youssef Enríquez

⚙️ Midfield:

Ángel Pérez, Carlos Protesoni, Ander Guevara, Denis Suárez, Abde Rebbach

⚡ Attack:

Lucas Boyé

Key Battles

⚔️Attack vs defence

Raphinha, Karim Adeyemi and Lamine Yamal lead Barcelona's starting attack against Alavés defenders Jonny Otto, Ville Koski and Nahuel Tenaglia.,Midfield : Pedri and Rodri face Alavés starters Denis Suárez, Carlos Protesoni, Ander Guevara, Youssef Enríquez and Ángel Pérez in the central areas.,Flanks: João Cancelo and Lamine Yamal provide Barcelona's right-sided involvement, while Abde Rebbach and Jonny Otto offer Alavés options on that side.

Best Odds

FC Barcelona to win
bwin
Draw
22Bet
Deportivo Alavés to win
22Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Under 2.5 Goals
bet365
Both teams to score: Yes
22Bet
Both teams to score: No
bet365

What these Odds Say

👉

Barcelona's home-win price has shortened marginally from 1.15 to 1.13, indicating stable, already-heavy support rather than a meaningful late surge.

👉

Both teams to score: Yes has drifted from 1.80 to 1.92, implying slightly weaker market confidence that Alavés will contribute.

👉

Over 2.5 goals has moved only from 1.24 to 1.25, so the goals expectation is broadly stable despite the late lineup confirmation.

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