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Serie A

•

Round 38

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Finished

1 : 1

22nd May 2026, 14:45

Atalanta

Atalanta

LOSS
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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Betting Tips

Marcus Webb

Author

Marcus WebbVerified author

Fact checker Steven Madden

Calendar icon09 Jun 2026

Atalanta to win.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Fiorentina versus Atalanta in Serie A currently points towards Atalanta as the deterministic draft lean.

The best available 1X2 price makes Atalanta the current favourite at 2.24. They also hold the stronger table position, with 58 points versus 41 for the opponent. Recent form also leans that way: the away side scored 11 and conceded 10 across the last 5 matches, while the opponent conceded 8. Current confidence sits in the medium band.

The sampled head-to-head run reads 3 home wins, 0 draws, and 2 away wins. The table gap stands at 17 points between Fiorentina and Atalanta. Atalanta bring a recent form line of LWDLD from the sampled run, with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded.

Atalanta scored 11 goals in the recent sample, while Fiorentina conceded 8 across the same span. Table pressure remains live, with positions 15 and 7 bringing different expectations into kickoff.

Deterministic verdict: Atalanta to win. Confidence is medium, with a primary score lean of 1-2.

Key reasons

  • The best available 1X2 price makes Atalanta the current favourite at 2.24.
  • They also hold the stronger table position, with 58 points versus 41 for the opponent.
  • Recent form also leans that way: the away side scored 11 and conceded 10 across the last 5 matches, while the opponent conceded 8.

Risk factors

  • The 1X2 market is still relatively tight behind the favourite.
  • Head-to-head history does not clearly back the away lean.
  • Data gaps remain in the current snapshot: goal_stats, key_battles, lineups, match_result_1x2, statistics, team_news, team_stats.
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1 : 2

Atalanta

Atalanta
Atalanta to win
22Bet
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Serie A Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
InterInter
38
27
6
5
89
35
+54
87
2
NapoliNapoli
38
23
7
8
58
36
+22
76
3
RomaRoma
38
23
4
11
59
31
+28
73
4
ComoComo
38
20
11
7
65
29
+36
71
5
AC MilanAC Milan
38
20
10
8
53
35
+18
70
6
JuventusJuventus
38
19
12
7
61
34
+27
69
7
AtalantaAtalanta
38
15
14
9
51
36
+15
59
8
BolognaBologna
38
16
8
14
49
46
+3
56
9
LazioLazio
38
14
12
12
41
40
+1
54
10
UdineseUdinese
38
14
8
16
45
48
-3
50
11
SassuoloSassuolo
38
14
7
17
46
50
-4
49
12
TorinoTorino
38
12
9
17
44
63
-19
45
13
ParmaParma
38
11
12
15
28
46
-18
45
14
CagliariCagliari
38
11
10
17
40
53
-13
43
15
FiorentinaFiorentina
38
9
15
14
41
50
-9
42
16
GenoaGenoa
38
10
11
17
41
51
-10
41
17
LecceLecce
38
10
8
20
28
50
-22
38
18
CremoneseCremonese
38
8
10
20
32
57
-25
34
19
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
38
3
12
23
25
61
-36
21
20
PisaPisa
38
2
12
24
26
71
-45
18

Head to Head

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

VS

Atalanta

Atalanta
3Wins
1Draws
2Wins
Serie ASerie A

Ended, 22 May 2026

FiorentinaFiorentina

1

AtalantaAtalanta

1

Serie ASerie A

FT, 30 Nov 2025

AtalantaAtalanta

2

FiorentinaFiorentina

0

Serie ASerie A

FT, 30 Mar 2025

FiorentinaFiorentina

1

AtalantaAtalanta

0

Serie ASerie A

FT, 15 Sept 2024

AtalantaAtalanta

3

FiorentinaFiorentina

2

Serie ASerie A

FT, 2 Jun 2024

AtalantaAtalanta

2

FiorentinaFiorentina

3

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

41

1.1

Goals Conceded

50

1.3

Goals difference

-9

Avg. goals per match

2.4

History & Context

AtalantaFiorentina

The sampled head-to-head run reads 3 home wins, 0 draws, and 2 away wins. The table gap stands at 17 points between Fiorentina and Atalanta. Atalanta bring a recent form line of LWDLD from the sampled run, with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded.

Last 5 Matches

Serie ASerie A

Ended, 17 May 2026

JuventusJuventus

0

FiorentinaFiorentina

2

Serie ASerie A

Ended, 10 May 2026

FiorentinaFiorentina

0

GenoaGenoa

0

Serie ASerie A

Ended, 4 May 2026

RomaRoma

4

FiorentinaFiorentina

0

Serie ASerie A

Ended, 26 Apr 2026

FiorentinaFiorentina

0

SassuoloSassuolo

0

Serie ASerie A

Ended, 20 Apr 2026

LecceLecce

1

FiorentinaFiorentina

1

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Confirmed: 4-3-3

🧤Goalkeeper:

Oliver Christensen

🛡️Back line:

Dodô, Pietro Comuzzo, Daniele Rugani, Robin Gosens

⚙️ Midfield:

Giovanni Fabbian, Rolando Mandragora, Marco Brescianini

⚡ Attack:

Jack Harrison, Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson

Atalanta

Atalanta

Confirmed: 3-4-2-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Marco Sportiello

🛡️Back line:

Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Honest Ahanor

⚙️ Midfield:

Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Mario Pašalić, Yunus Musah

⚡ Attack:

Lazar Samardžić, Kamaldeen Sulemana, Giacomo Raspadori

Key Battles

⚔️

Atalanta scored 11 goals in the recent sample, while Fiorentina conceded 8 across the same span. Table pressure remains live, with positions 15 and 7 bringing different expectations into kickoff.

Best Odds

Fiorentina to win
1xbet
Draw
1xbet
Atalanta to win
22Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
888Sport
Both teams to score: No
10Bet

What these Odds Say

👉

Best available 1X2 prices in the current snapshot are home 2.54, draw 3.18, and away 2.24.

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