

World Cup
•Round 1

Iraq
Finished
1 : 4
16th Jun 2026, 18:00

Norway
Norway to win


Author
Fact checker Steven Madden
Norway's superior recent form, attacking output, and emphatic qualifying victories justify backing them to claim all three points in Foxborough.
Confirmed lineups are in, and nothing here changes the original angle. Norway field Haaland, Ødegaard, and Sørloth as expected, while Iraq have named a compact four-man midfield and two strikers in Aymen Hussein and Ali Al-Hamadi. The market pricing has remained remarkably stable since publication, with Norway still anchored at 1.24 and Iraq drifting slightly to 15.75. That tells you everything you need to know about how the broader picture has held. I'm sticking with Norway to control this match from start to finish and take all three points. Keep reading to see how the confirmed lineups sharpen the picture and where the value angles sit.
The starting point remains exactly where it was: Norway are in much better shape. Their European qualifying campaign delivered 24 goals across four matches, with Haaland, Ødegaard, and the supporting cast clicking in every phase. The 4-1 win in Italy was the headline result, but the consistency matters just as much. Four wins, no goals conceded in three of those matches, and a tactical fluency that should translate well even on a neutral pitch in Massachusetts. Iraq, by contrast, navigated a more cautious path. They drew twice with the UAE, held Saudi Arabia to 0-0, and needed a 2-1 win over Bolivia to secure their World Cup berth. Those are respectable results in context, but they don't suggest a side ready to trade blows with one of Europe's most in-form attacking units.
The confirmed lineups underline Norway's intent. Haaland leads the line flanked by Nusa and Sørloth, with Ødegaard pulling the strings just behind. That's a front four built to stretch defences, rotate positions, and deliver quality service into the box. Iraq have opted for a four-man midfield anchored by Ibrahim Bayesh and Amir Al-Ammari, with Aymen Hussein and Ali Al-Hamadi tasked with holding the ball up front. The problem is that Iraq's midfield will spend most of this match chasing shadows if Norway find their rhythm. Ødegaard and Berge should dominate possession, and once Norway settle into their build-up patterns, Iraq will be pinned inside their own half for long spells. The market has barely moved since publication, with Norway shortening fractionally from 1.25 to 1.24 and Iraq drifting slightly from 16.00 to 15.75. That's effectively stable pricing, and it confirms that the broader narrative hasn't shifted. Norway are expected to win comfortably, and the confirmed personnel only reinforce that view. Iraq's best hope is to stay disciplined, avoid early mistakes, and hope to catch Norway on the counter if the full-backs push too high. The problem is that Norway's recent defensive record suggests they're alert to that risk, and Iraq's goal output in qualifying doesn't inspire confidence that they can punish mistakes when they come. I'm still leaning towards a comfortable Norway win, probably by two or three goals, with Iraq struggling to find a way through. A 0-3 or 0-2 scoreline feels about right-dominant without being a total rout, and enough to settle nerves ahead of tougher group fixtures.
Norway to win comfortably at Gillette Stadium, possibly by two or three goals, as their European qualification momentum and attacking fluency should overwhelm Iraq's more modest recent record.

Iraq
0 : 3
Norway




Match already started.
What Is Your Prediction?


Loading…
Match already started.
Goals Scored
0.3
Goals Conceded
4.0
Goals difference
-11
Avg. goals per match
4.3
FT, 10 Jun 2026
0
2
FT, 4 Jun 2026
1
1
FT, 29 May 2026
0
1
FT, 1 Apr 2026
2
1
FT, 12 Dec 2025
1
0
Based on recent previews and team reports.

Iraq
Confirmed: 4-4-2
🧤Goalkeeper:
Jalal Hassan
🛡️Back line:
Hussein Ali, Zaid Tahseen, Akam Hashem, Merchas Doski
⚙️ Midfield:
Ibrahim Bayesh, Zaid Ismail, Amir Al-Ammari, Ali Jasim
⚡ Attack:
Aymen Hussein, Ali Al-Hamadi

Norway
Confirmed: 4-4-2
🧤Goalkeeper:
Ørjan Nyland
🛡️Back line:
Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Ajer, Torbjørn Heggem, David Møller Wolfe
⚙️ Midfield:
Martin Ødegaard, Sander Berge, Fredrik Aursnes, Antonio Nusa
⚡ Attack:
Alexander Sørloth, Erling Haaland
⚔️Attack vs defence
Haaland and Sørloth against Iraq's central defensive pairing of Zaid Tahseen and Akam Hashem will define Norway's ability to convert territorial dominance into clear chances, with both Norwegian forwards capable of exploiting any hesitation or lack of recovery pace.,Midfield: Ødegaard and Berge against Ibrahim Bayesh and Amir Al-Ammari in the centre will determine whether Norway can control tempo and create overloads, or whether Iraq can disrupt rhythm and force long balls that reduce Norway's possession advantage.,Flanks: Nusa and Antonio's pace against Iraq's full-backs Hussein Ali and Merchas Doski should stretch Iraq's defensive shape wide, creating space for overlapping runs from Wolfe and Ryerson and testing Iraq's ability to track runners from deep.







👉
Norway's win price has remained virtually unchanged, shortening fractionally from 1.25 to 1.24, indicating the market sees no reason to adjust its expectation of a comfortable away victory.
👉
Iraq's price has drifted slightly from 16.00 to 15.75, reflecting reduced confidence in an upset, though the movement is minimal and suggests the market already priced in Iraq's limited threat.
👉
Both Teams To Score No remains stable at 1.57, with the market consistently pricing in the likelihood that Iraq will struggle to find a way through Norway's organised defence.