

World Cup
•Round 2

Jordan
Finished
1 : 2
22nd Jun 2026, 23:00

Algeria
Algeria to win


Author
Fact checker Steven Madden
Algeria's class edge remains the call here, though both sides arrive reeling from heavy opening losses and neither can afford to force it.
World Cup group-stage football at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Jordan facing Algeria in Round 2 with both sides sitting at the bottom of the group after heavy opening defeats. The table has shifted-Algeria now fourth after a 3-0 loss to Argentina, Jordan third after a 3-1 defeat to Austria-but the market view remains steady. Algeria are still strong favourites at 1.57, Jordan still long outsiders at 7.37, and the draw has drifted slightly to 4.54. Neither side can afford another loss, which tightens the stakes and compresses the margin for error. I'm holding with an Algeria lean, but the context has changed. Both teams are wounded, both are desperate, and that changes how this unfolds. Keep reading to see where the value sits.
I'll start with what still holds: Algeria should win this. They're priced at 1.57, they carry more quality on paper, and the broad expectation remains that their technical edge will prove too much for Jordan over ninety minutes. That direction hasn't shifted. What has shifted is the context. Algeria were dismantled 3-0 by Argentina in their opener, conceding three without reply and offering little resistance. Jordan lost 3-1 to Austria, but at least managed a goal and showed enough organisation to avoid total collapse. Both sides now sit at the bottom of the group-Algeria fourth on goal difference, Jordan third-and both know another defeat likely ends their tournament before the final round. That changes the emotional stakes, the tactical approach, and the margin for error on both sides.
Algeria's path to three points remains straightforward: control possession, pin Jordan into their own half, and wait for the defensive block to crack. The 2.0 available on over 2.5 goals suggests the market still expects goals, but I'm cautious. Jordan will sit deep, stay compact, and look to frustrate Algeria for as long as possible, knowing that one defensive lapse could be terminal. The question is whether Algeria have the patience and composure to break that structure down after a demoralising opener, or whether desperation creeps in and they start forcing passes, leaving themselves exposed on the counter. If they stay disciplined, this could finish 2-0 or 2-1. If they don't, it drifts towards 1-0 or even a draw, and suddenly that 7.37 on Jordan or the 4.54 on the draw looks less absurd than it did a week ago.
Jordan's best chance of a result is to stay organised, avoid giving away cheap set pieces, and hope that one moment of transition or dead-ball delivery gives them something to defend. The market still doubts they can find a goal-both teams to score is priced at 2.09 for yes-but their opener against Austria showed they can create moments even when under pressure. The more likely scenario is that Jordan stay compact, limit Algeria to one or two goals, and leave empty-handed but with their structure intact for the final match. Algeria should win, but I expect this to stay tight, nervy, and lower-scoring than the over 2.5 line suggests. A 1-2 scoreline still feels about right-enough for Algeria to take the points, not enough for them to relax, and shaped more by desperation than dominance.
Algeria to win

Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria




Match already started.
What Is Your Prediction?


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Match already started.
Goals Scored
1.0
Goals Conceded
2.7
Goals difference
-5
Avg. goals per match
3.7
Ended, 17 Jun 2026
3
1
FT, 7 Jun 2026
2
0
FT, 31 May 2026
4
1
FT, 31 Mar 2026
2
2
FT, 27 Mar 2026
2
2
Based on recent previews and team reports.

Jordan
Confirmed: 3-4-2-1
🧤Goalkeeper:
Yazeed Abulaila
🛡️Back line:
Abdallah Nasib, Yazan Al-Arab, Husam Abu Dahab
⚙️ Midfield:
Ehsan Haddad, Nizar Al-Rashdan, Noor Al-Rawabdeh, Mohannad Abu Taha
⚡ Attack:
Ali Olwan, Mahmoud Al-Mardi, Mousa Tamari

Algeria
Confirmed: 4-2-3-1
🧤Goalkeeper:
Luca Zidane
🛡️Back line:
Rafik Belghali, Aïssa Mandi, Ramy Bensebaini, Rayan Aït-Nouri
⚙️ Midfield:
Hicham Boudaoui, Ramiz Zerrouki, Riyad Mahrez, Ibrahim Maza, Farès Chaïbi
⚡ Attack:
Amine Gouiri







👉
Algeria's price has barely moved from 1.53 to 1.57 despite their 3-0 opening defeat, suggesting the market still views them as clear favourites regardless of early setback.
👉
Jordan have drifted from 6.68 to 7.37, reflecting weaker confidence in their ability to cause an upset even after a respectable showing against Austria.
👉
The draw has shifted from 4.17 to 4.54, a modest drift that suggests the market expects Algeria to respond with a win rather than both sides cancelling each other out in desperation.