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Premier League

•

Round 9

Liverpool

Liverpool

11:30

1st Nov 2026

Arsenal

Arsenal

Pick
Not Started
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Liverpool vs Arsenal Best Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon20 Oct 2026

Arsenal's six wins from seven and four victories in their last five make them the more convincing side at the available 1X2 prices.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Arsenal travel to Anfield with six wins from seven Premier League matches and are priced as the market's likeliest winner at 2.21. Liverpool have been more mixed, although their recent win at Brentford underlines why this is not a straightforward away call. My prediction is an Arsenal win in a match where both teams find the net. The pricing and recent records make the case below worth unpacking.

Arsenal's 2.21 price makes them the clear market preference, with Liverpool at 3.30 and the draw at 3.54. That is a meaningful away lean rather than an overwhelming one: the raw implied probabilities from those prices carry bookmaker margin, but Arsenal still stand out as the shortest selection. I think that stance has a reasonable statistical basis. Arsenal are second on 18 points after seven games, with six wins, 11 goals scored and only five conceded. Liverpool are fifth on 12 points, having drawn three of their seven league fixtures.

Recent results keep me on Arsenal, but without overstating the edge. They have won four of their last five, including victories over Nottingham Forest, Leeds, Sunderland and Chelsea. Liverpool have also won three of five, beating Brentford, Bournemouth and Ipswich, but the 3-0 home defeat to Manchester City and goalless draw with Fulham show a wider range of outcomes. My 1-2 lean respects Liverpool's ability to score while giving Arsenal the marginal advantage their season record and current price suggest. Both teams to score at 1.61 is short, which fits that scoreline, while over 2.5 goals at 1.76 asks for a match with enough attacking output to clear three goals. Arsenal's away win is the primary angle, though the price leaves room for the draw as the principal threat.

Arsenal have the stronger recent league return and enough market support to edge a competitive game at Anfield.

Key reasons

  • Arsenal sit second with 18 points from seven matches, compared with Liverpool's 12 points in fifth.
  • Arsenal have won four of their last five league matches, while Liverpool have taken three wins, one draw and one loss.
  • Arsenal are the shortest-priced 1X2 selection at 2.21, ahead of Liverpool at 3.30 and the draw at 3.54.

Risk factors

  • Liverpool have won three of their last five league games and arrive after a 2-1 victory at Brentford.
  • Arsenal's recent 3-0 loss at Brighton shows there is downside attached to backing them away from home.
Liverpool

Liverpool

1 : 2

Arsenal

Arsenal
Arsenal to win
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Do you agree with my prediction?

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Arsenal to win
    12
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Arsenal to win
    12

What Is Your Prediction?

Liverpool
Arsenal

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See what others think 👇
Liverpool to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Arsenal to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Premier League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
7
7
0
0
19
7
+12
21
2
ArsenalArsenal
7
6
0
1
11
5
+6
18
3
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
7
5
1
1
23
5
+18
16
4
ChelseaChelsea
7
4
1
2
17
13
+4
13
5
LiverpoolLiverpool
7
3
3
1
9
8
+1
12
6
BrentfordBrentford
7
2
4
1
13
8
+5
10
7
Leeds UnitedLeeds United
7
2
4
1
9
6
+3
10
8
EvertonEverton
7
2
4
1
8
7
+1
10
9
Hull CityHull City
7
2
3
2
8
7
+1
9
10
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
7
3
0
4
11
15
-4
9
11
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United
7
2
2
3
10
14
-4
8
12
Aston VillaAston Villa
7
2
2
3
7
11
-4
8
13
Manchester UnitedManchester United
7
1
4
2
10
10
0
7
14
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
7
2
1
4
9
17
-8
7
15
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
7
1
3
3
9
13
-4
6
16
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
7
1
3
3
6
10
-4
6
17
Coventry CityCoventry City
7
2
0
5
6
14
-8
6
18
FulhamFulham
7
1
2
4
7
10
-3
5
19
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
7
1
2
4
5
9
-4
5
20
SunderlandSunderland
7
1
1
5
6
14
-8
4

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

9

1.3

Goals Conceded

8

1.1

Goals difference

+1

Avg. goals per match

2.4

Last 5 Matches

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 17 Oct 2026

BrentfordBrentford

1

LiverpoolLiverpool

2

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 11 Oct 2026

LiverpoolLiverpool

0

Manchester CityManchester City

3

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 20 Sept 2026

AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

0

LiverpoolLiverpool

1

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 12 Sept 2026

LiverpoolLiverpool

0

FulhamFulham

0

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 4 Sept 2026

Ipswich TownIpswich Town

0

LiverpoolLiverpool

2

Best Odds

Liverpool to win
bwin
Draw
Marathonbet
Arsenal to win
Marathonbet
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Under 2.5 Goals
bwin
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
22Bet

What these Odds Say

👉

Arsenal at 2.21 are the shortest 1X2 price, implying roughly a 45% raw chance before bookmaker margin.

👉

Liverpool at 3.30 and the draw at 3.54 place both alternative 1X2 outcomes in a similar probability range.

👉

BTTS Yes at 1.61 and Over 2.5 Goals at 1.76 indicate the available prices favour a match with goals at both ends.

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