

Premier League
•Round 4

Liverpool
10:00
12th Sept 2026

Fulham
Liverpool to win


Author
Fact checker Janne Kouva
Liverpool are the clear 1X2 favourites at 1.85 and face a Fulham side without a point after two league games.
Liverpool host Fulham at Anfield with the market making the home side 1.85 favourites. My match prediction is a Liverpool win, but not necessarily a clean one: the Reds have scored and conceded four goals across two league draws, while Fulham have lost both opening fixtures. A 2-1 home result is the angle I keep returning to. Here is where the prices and recent results point.
The 1X2 market puts Liverpool firmly in front at a best available 1.85, while Fulham are 6.50 and the draw is 4.90. That is a strong home-team signal, and I can understand it from the early league returns. Liverpool have two points from two matches after 2-2 draws with Newcastle United and Nottingham Forest. The results are not ideal, but four goals scored shows the attacking side of their game has been functioning. Fulham, meanwhile, are still seeking their first point after losing 3-2 to Chelsea and 1-0 at Sunderland.
I would not make this a pure clean-sheet case for Liverpool. Their last five listed matches have all featured goals for both teams, including the two early-season draws and a 4-2 defeat at Aston Villa. Fulham have also shown enough scoring potential to make the BTTS price of 1.70 understandable; they scored twice against Chelsea and beat Newcastle United 2-0 in their listed run. Still, their two current league defeats and four goals conceded leave the away win price looking ambitious.
My preference is Liverpool to win, with a 2-1 scoreline the most plausible editorial lean rather than a certainty. It supports BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 goals without demanding a one-sided match. Liverpool are the likelier side, but recent draws mean the straight home price is a medium-confidence position rather than one to overstate.
Liverpool are the likelier winners at Anfield, with both sides capable of contributing to a game above 2.5 goals.

Liverpool
2 : 1
Fulham




This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.


What Is Your Prediction?


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Goals Scored
2.0
Goals Conceded
2.0
Goals difference
0
Avg. goals per match
4.0
FT, 29 Aug 2026
2
2
FT, 23 Aug 2026
2
2
FT, 24 May 2026
1
1
FT, 15 May 2026
4
2
FT, 9 May 2026
1
1







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Liverpool's 1.85 price equates to a raw implied probability of about 54%, establishing them as clear favourites.
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The 4.90 draw price carries a raw implied probability near 20%, leaving room for Liverpool's recent sequence of draws.
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BTTS Yes at 1.70 is priced shorter than No at 2.24, while Over 2.5 at 2.25 offers a bigger return than the BTTS angle.