Newcastle United vs Hull City Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Prediction

Newcastle United to win remains my lean, but this has become a more awkward call after their 4-1 loss at Leeds and Hull's 2-2 draw at Chelsea. Confirmed starters include Yoane Wissa, Harvey Barnes and Jacob Murphy for Newcastle, with Oli McBurnie, Mohamed Belloumi and Sorba Thomas starting for Hull. The home price has only moved from 1.50 to 1.62, though, so the market has not abandoned the hosts. Here's why I'm still leaning their way.

Here's the thing: the original Newcastle lean has taken a hit from the latest results, but not enough to justify changing it. Newcastle were beaten 4-1 at Leeds, a result that adds to the concern around a side now sitting on five points from four league matches. Hull, meanwhile, stayed unbeaten by drawing 2-2 at Chelsea and sit fifth with eight points. That tells you something: Hull are not arriving simply to make up the numbers.

The confirmed teams support a competitive-game read. Newcastle have Wissa, Barnes, Fernández-Pardo and Murphy among their starters, while Hull start McBurnie with Belloumi and Thomas in midfield. There is no decisive confirmed absence in the supplied lineups that forces a change from the previous view. Newcastle's starters give the home side plenty of attacking involvement, but Hull's recent return of five goals in four league matches means a clean home win is far from guaranteed.

The odds have softened slightly on Newcastle, from 1.50 in the published pick to a current best 1.62. That is a modest drift rather than a dramatic reversal, and Hull have not become favourites. Both teams to score has shortened from 1.75 to 1.70, while over 2.5 goals is broadly stable at 1.64 from 1.63. Those moves fit the recent scorelines more than they challenge the home-win angle. I still see Newcastle edging it, but Hull's form makes 2-1 a much more plausible outcome than a routine home victory.

Newcastle United to win

Newcastle United

2 : 1

Hull City

Newcastle United to win

1.62

Both teams to score: Yes

1.70

Over 2.5 Goals

1.64