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Premier League

Round 5

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

10:00

19th Sept 2026

Hull City

Hull City

Pick
Not Started
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Newcastle United vs Hull City Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Fact checker Janne Kouva

Calendar icon08 Sep 2026

Newcastle's unbeaten opening and stronger attacking output make them the likelier side to find a narrow home win.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Newcastle United are the deserved lean at St. James' Park, but Hull City have made a seriously tidy start of their own. Newcastle are unbeaten through three league games and have scored six times, while Hull arrive unbeaten with two wins, a draw and three clean sheets. I'm backing Newcastle to win 2-1, with both teams capable of contributing. Here's why this one looks closer than the home price first suggests.

Here's the thing: Newcastle have started this Premier League campaign without a defeat, and there is proper substance in those first three results. They drew 2-2 with Bournemouth, won 2-0 at Tottenham and then shared another 2-2 with Liverpool. Six goals in three games is a strong attacking return, while their last five supplied results also include a 3-1 win over West Ham. For me, that gives the home side the more convincing route to three points, especially with the 1X2 market making them clear favourites at 1.50.

Hull deserve plenty of respect, though. Their first three league matches have delivered seven points and no goals conceded: a 2-0 win over Manchester United, a 1-0 victory at Coventry and a 0-0 draw with Aston Villa. That tells you something about their ability to stay in games, and it is the main reason I'm not fully sold on a comfortable Newcastle result. Still, Hull have scored only three times across that run, whereas Newcastle have already been involved in two 2-2 matches.

I think Newcastle's goal threat eventually breaks through, but Hull's opening defensive record makes a one-sided call less appealing. A 2-1 home win is my plausible score it respects Hull's unbeaten start while siding with Newcastle's stronger attacking output and the market's clear preference for the hosts. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals fit that read, although each comes with obvious resistance from Hull's clean-sheet run.

Newcastle United to edge Hull City in a competitive game at St. James' Park.

Key reasons

  • Newcastle are unbeaten after three league matches, with six goals scored across draws with Bournemouth and Liverpool plus a win at Tottenham.
  • Hull have started strongly with seven points from three matches, but Newcastle are clear home favourites in the 1X2 prices.
  • Newcastle's last five supplied results have produced nine goals scored and seven conceded, pointing towards a livelier contest than Hull's early clean-sheet record alone.

Risk factors

  • Hull are unbeaten in three league games and have yet to concede, so they have already shown they can make matches difficult.
  • Newcastle have drawn two of their opening three league fixtures, making the draw a realistic obstacle to the home-win angle.
Newcastle United

Newcastle United

2 : 1

Hull City

Hull City
Newcastle United to win
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Do you agree with my prediction?

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Newcastle United to win
    21
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Newcastle United to win
    21

What Is Your Prediction?

Newcastle United
Hull City

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See what others think 👇
Newcastle United to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Hull City to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Premier League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
3
3
0
0
7
2
+5
9
2
ArsenalArsenal
3
3
0
0
6
1
+5
9
3
Hull CityHull City
3
2
1
0
3
0
+3
7
4
ChelseaChelsea
3
2
0
1
8
7
+1
6
5
BrentfordBrentford
3
1
2
0
5
2
+3
5
6
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United
3
1
2
0
6
4
+2
5
7
LiverpoolLiverpool
3
1
2
0
6
4
+2
5
8
EvertonEverton
3
1
2
0
5
3
+2
5
9
Leeds UnitedLeeds United
3
1
2
0
3
2
+1
5
10
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
3
1
1
1
8
5
+3
4
11
Manchester UnitedManchester United
3
1
1
1
7
6
+1
4
12
SunderlandSunderland
3
1
1
1
3
3
0
4
13
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
3
1
0
2
4
8
-4
3
14
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
3
1
0
2
4
8
-4
3
15
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
3
0
2
1
4
5
-1
2
16
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
3
0
2
1
2
3
-1
2
17
Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
3
0
1
2
0
5
-5
1
18
Aston VillaAston Villa
3
0
1
2
0
5
-5
1
19
FulhamFulham
3
0
0
3
4
7
-3
0
20
Coventry CityCoventry City
3
0
0
3
0
5
-5
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

6

2.0

Goals Conceded

4

1.3

Goals difference

+2

Avg. goals per match

3.3

Last 5 Matches

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 5 Sept 2026

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

2

AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

2

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 29 Aug 2026

Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur

0

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

2

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 23 Aug 2026

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

2

LiverpoolLiverpool

2

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 24 May 2026

FulhamFulham

2

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

0

Premier LeaguePremier League

FT, 17 May 2026

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United

3

West Ham UnitedWest Ham United

1

Best Odds

Newcastle United to win
Marathonbet
Draw
bet365
Hull City to win
Marathonbet
Over 2.5 Goals
22Bet
Under 2.5 Goals
bet365
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
bet365

What these Odds Say

👉

Newcastle at 1.50 carry a raw implied probability of about 66.7%, clearly ahead of the draw at 4.75 and Hull at 6.45.

👉

The 1X2 prices total roughly 103.3% on raw implied probability, a relatively tight three-way market margin.

👉

Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is priced shorter than under 2.5 at 2.30, while BTTS Yes at 1.75 is also favoured over No at 2.00.

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