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Ligue 1

•

Round 6

Rennes

Rennes

Finished

4 : 1

(HT 1 - 1)

11th Oct 2026, 11:15

Auxerre

Auxerre

WIN
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Rennes vs Auxerre Betting Tips, Odds & AI Predictions

Fact checker Janne Kouva

Calendar icon05 Oct 2026

Rennes retain the stronger five-match points return and their three listed home results provide the clearest basis for the home-win lean.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Rennes to win remains the call, with 3-1 the score lean, ahead of Auxerre's visit to Roazhon Park. The home price is broadly stable, edging from 1.44 to 1.45, while both teams to score is unchanged at 1.66 and over 2.5 has shortened slightly to 1.45. The lineup feed lists starters but does not map them reliably by team. Rennes' home return and the goals case merit a closer look.

The original Rennes lean still stands. They have taken 10 points from five matches, compared with Auxerre's six, and the hosts have produced two wins and a draw across their three listed home fixtures. Victories over Marseille and Le Mans, alongside a draw with Paris Saint Germain, give Rennes a reasonable platform for the outright call. Auxerre arrive with back-to-back wins over Nice and Brest, so this is not a spot to overstate the certainty, but their away results have been notably more volatile.

The goals angles remain closely tied to the same evidence. Rennes have conceded nine times in five matches, including four in the latest loss at Lyon. Auxerre have scored in every listed fixture, with seven goals overall, but have also allowed 12. That combination supports both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, while still fitting a Rennes win as the most plausible match shape.

The lineup feed does list 22 starters, but every player is assigned as unknown rather than to Rennes or Auxerre. That means there is no reliable team-by-team confirmation to justify changing the published view or constructing specific player battles. There is also no decisive absence identified in the supplied data.

The market has barely shifted. Rennes have moved from 1.44 to 1.45, a negligible drift rather than a signal of reduced conviction. Both teams to score remains at 1.66, while over 2.5 goals has shortened from 1.47 to 1.45. The market is still pricing Rennes as clear favourites and expecting a game with goals.

Rennes to win

Key reasons

  • Rennes have collected 10 points from five matches and won three of them, placing fifth in the standings.
  • Rennes scored in four of their five listed games, while their three home results include wins over Marseille and Le Mans plus a draw with Paris Saint Germain.
  • Auxerre have scored seven goals in five matches and found the net in every listed fixture, but have also conceded 12.

Risk factors

  • Rennes conceded nine goals in five matches, including four in their latest defeat at Lyon.
  • Auxerre arrive after consecutive wins over Nice and Brest, giving the visitors a credible route to compete.
Rennes

Rennes

3 : 1

Auxerre

Auxerre
Rennes to win
Dafabet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
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AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Home
    21
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Home
    31

What Is Your Prediction?

Rennes
Auxerre

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Rennes to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
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Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Ligue 1 Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
7
4
2
1
13
5
+8
14
2
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
7
4
2
1
14
9
+5
14
3
ParisParis
7
4
2
1
12
7
+5
14
4
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
7
4
2
1
10
5
+5
14
5
MonacoMonaco
7
4
2
1
10
6
+4
14
6
RennesRennes
7
4
1
2
15
14
+1
13
7
LorientLorient
7
3
2
2
7
6
+1
11
8
NiceNice
8
3
2
3
8
10
-2
11
9
LensLens
7
3
1
3
14
11
+3
10
10
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
7
3
0
4
14
10
+4
9
11
BrestBrest
8
2
3
3
14
12
+2
9
12
ToulouseToulouse
7
2
3
2
12
11
+1
9
13
AuxerreAuxerre
7
3
0
4
11
17
-6
9
14
StrasbourgStrasbourg
7
2
1
4
12
15
-3
7
15
Angers SCOAngers SCO
7
2
1
4
9
15
-6
7
16
Le MansLe Mans
7
1
3
3
10
15
-5
6
17
TroyesTroyes
7
1
1
5
5
16
-11
4
18
Le HavreLe Havre
7
0
2
5
5
11
-6
2

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

15

2.1

Goals Conceded

14

2.0

Goals difference

+1

Avg. goals per match

4.1

Last 5 Matches

Ligue 1Ligue 1

FT, 19 Sept 2026

Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais

4

RennesRennes

0

Ligue 1Ligue 1

FT, 11 Sept 2026

RennesRennes

1

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille

0

Ligue 1Ligue 1

FT, 6 Sept 2026

Angers SCOAngers SCO

1

RennesRennes

2

Ligue 1Ligue 1

FT, 30 Aug 2026

RennesRennes

3

Le MansLe Mans

2

Ligue 1Ligue 1

FT, 23 Aug 2026

RennesRennes

2

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

2

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

Rennes

Rennes

Confirmed: 4-3-3

🧤Goalkeeper:

Brice Samba

🛡️Back line:

Bryan Reynolds, Charlie Cresswell, Anthony Rouault, Mahamadou Nagida

⚙️ Midfield:

Mahdi Camara, Valentin Rongier, Adrien Thomasson

⚡ Attack:

Mousa Tamari, Estéban Lepaul, Issa Soumaré

Auxerre

Auxerre

Confirmed: 4-3-3

🧤Goalkeeper:

Mamadou Diop

🛡️Back line:

Lamine Sy, Axel Tuanzebe, Clément Akpa, Fredrik Oppegård

⚙️ Midfield:

Naouirou Ahamada, Arthur Piedfort, Kévin Danois

⚡ Attack:

Romain Faivre, Cameron Archer, Danny Namaso

Best Odds

Rennes to win
Dafabet
Draw
bwin
Auxerre to win
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
bet365
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
WilliamHill

What these Odds Say

👉

Rennes have edged from 1.44 to 1.45, a negligible drift that leaves the home side firmly priced as the clear favourite.

👉

Both teams to score: Yes remains at 1.66, indicating broadly stable market expectations for goals at both ends.

👉

Over 2.5 goals has shortened from 1.47 to 1.45, offering slight additional support for an open, higher-scoring contest.

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