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Serie A

Round 3

Roma

Roma

Finished

2 : 1

(HT 0 - 0)

5th Sept 2026, 14:45

Atalanta

Atalanta

WIN
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Roma vs Atalanta Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon25 Aug 2026

Roma's winning sequence and stronger early league output keep the home win as the clearest lean, despite the shorter current price.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Roma remain my pick to beat Atalanta, with the original 2-1 lean still intact. The home price has shortened from 2.21 to 1.73, signalling firmer market support without changing the underlying call. Confirmed starters are listed in the feed, although they are not assigned to either side, so there is no clear team-news case for a revision. The pricing and form split are worth a closer look.

Roma remain the right side of the 1X2 for this update. Their listed last five are all wins, while the standings now show two victories from two, eight goals scored and none conceded. Atalanta have also started with two wins, but their early return is three goals scored and one conceded. That keeps the original 2-1 Roma view reasonable: the home side have the stronger recent scoring evidence, while Atalanta's results still leave room for them to contribute.

The confirmed-lineup feed contains 22 named starters, including Paulo Dybala, Donyell Malen, Gianluca Scamacca and Charles De Ketelaere, but all are marked as belonging to an unknown team. That makes the lineups insufficient for reliable side-specific adjustments or direct player matchups. More importantly, there is no supplied evidence of a decisive absence that would justify moving away from the published Roma selection.

The market has moved towards Roma, whose available win price is now 1.73 compared with the published 2.21. That is meaningful support, although it does not alter the prediction; it simply means the straight home price is paying less for the same outcome. The draw has moved from 17.00 to 4.00 and Atalanta from 8.50 to 5.30 in the supplied snapshots, tightening the broader board considerably. Both teams to score is broadly stable at 1.82 versus 1.80, while over 2.5 has expanded from 2.05 to 4.00. Roma to win remains the disciplined call, with BTTS still plausible but the goals price requiring extra care.

Roma to win

Key reasons

  • Roma have won each of their listed last five matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding only two across that run.
  • Roma started the Serie A campaign with a 4-0 result and sit on three points with a +4 goal difference after one game.
  • Atalanta's listed recent results include goals at both ends in three of five matches, including their 2-1 win over Sassuolo.

Risk factors

  • Atalanta began their league season with a 2-1 win and have two victories in their listed last five matches.
  • Roma's five-match winning run includes three away wins, so it is a strong sequence but not solely home-based evidence.
Roma

Roma

2 : 1

Atalanta

Atalanta
Roma to win
Dafabet
Both teams to score: Yes
22Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
10Bet
Do you agree with my prediction?
Yes (0)No (0)

Match already started.

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Home
    21
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Home
    21

What Is Your Prediction?

Roma
Atalanta

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Roma to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Atalanta to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Serie A Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
LazioLazio
4
3
1
0
6
3
+3
10
2
RomaRoma
3
3
0
0
10
1
+9
9
3
InterInter
3
3
0
0
8
3
+5
9
4
CagliariCagliari
4
3
0
1
4
2
+2
9
5
AC MilanAC Milan
4
2
2
0
7
4
+3
8
6
ComoComo
3
2
1
0
7
3
+4
7
7
FrosinoneFrosinone
4
2
1
1
7
4
+3
7
8
JuventusJuventus
4
2
1
1
6
4
+2
7
9
SassuoloSassuolo
4
2
1
1
8
7
+1
7
10
NapoliNapoli
4
2
0
2
6
5
+1
6
11
AtalantaAtalanta
4
2
0
2
5
5
0
6
12
LecceLecce
4
2
0
2
5
7
-2
6
13
UdineseUdinese
3
1
1
1
5
5
0
4
14
TorinoTorino
3
1
0
2
4
5
-1
3
15
FiorentinaFiorentina
4
1
0
3
5
11
-6
3
16
BolognaBologna
4
0
1
3
2
5
-3
1
17
ParmaParma
3
0
1
2
1
4
-3
1
18
MonzaMonza
4
0
1
3
6
11
-5
1
19
GenoaGenoa
4
0
1
3
2
8
-6
1
20
VeneziaVenezia
4
0
0
4
4
11
-7
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

10

3.3

Goals Conceded

1

0.3

Goals difference

+9

Avg. goals per match

3.7

Last 5 Matches

Serie ASerie A

FT, 31 Aug 2026

LecceLecce

0

RomaRoma

4

Serie ASerie A

FT, 24 Aug 2026

RomaRoma

4

FiorentinaFiorentina

0

Serie ASerie A

FT, 24 May 2026

Hellas VeronaHellas Verona

0

RomaRoma

2

Serie ASerie A

FT, 17 May 2026

RomaRoma

2

LazioLazio

0

Serie ASerie A

FT, 10 May 2026

ParmaParma

2

RomaRoma

3

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

Roma

Roma

Confirmed: 3-4-2-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Mile Svilar

🛡️Back line:

Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, Mario Hermoso

⚙️ Midfield:

Emanuele Lulli, Bryan Cristante, Manu Koné, Wesley

⚡ Attack:

Paulo Dybala, Rodrigo Mora, Donyell Malen

Atalanta

Atalanta

Confirmed: 4-3-3

🧤Goalkeeper:

Marco Carnesecchi

🛡️Back line:

Raoul Bellanova, Odilon Kossounou, Giorgio Scalvini, Sead Kolasinac

⚙️ Midfield:

Lazar Samardžić, Gianluca Gaetano, Éderson

⚡ Attack:

Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Eljif Elmas

Best Odds

Roma to win
Dafabet
Draw
Marathonbet
Atalanta to win
Marathonbet
Over 2.5 Goals
10Bet
Under 2.5 Goals
bet365
Both teams to score: Yes
22Bet
Both teams to score: No
WilliamHill

What these Odds Say

👉

Roma have shortened from 2.21 to 1.73, indicating stronger late support for the home win but offering less return than the published price.

👉

Both teams to score: Yes is broadly stable, moving only from 1.80 to 1.82, which suggests little meaningful change in scoring expectations.

👉

Over 2.5 goals has drifted from 2.05 to 4.00 in the supplied prices, implying much weaker market support for the original goals angle.

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