

Serie A
•Round 5

Roma
Finished
2 : 2
(HT 2 - 0)
19th Sept 2026, 12:00

Inter
Roma to win


Author
Fact checker Daniela Stoeva
Roma remain the narrow pick after extending their perfect start, although the latest prices show this is still a very finely balanced contest.
Roma remain my narrow pick against Inter, with the published 2-1 lean still the best fit for two perfect starts. There are no usable confirmed lineups supplied to alter that view. Roma have drifted slightly from 2.62 to 2.77, while Inter have shortened from 2.83 to 2.61, but it is not a decisive reversal. Here's why the home edge still holds.
The original Roma lean stays in place. Both sides have now won their opening four Serie A matches, but Roma's table numbers remain the cleaner blend: 12 goals scored, only one conceded and a goal difference of plus 11. Inter have scored even more, with 13, but have allowed six. Their latest five matches also underline the difference in match profile: Roma have won all five listed fixtures and conceded once, while Inter's recent wins over Udinese and Napoli finished 5-3 and 3-2.
Lineup confirmation does not provide a reason to move away from the previous call. No usable confirmed starters are supplied, so there is no decisive absence or late team information that would justify changing a published prediction. The 2-1 Roma score lean remains coherent with Inter scoring in each of their last five listed games and Roma carrying the stronger defensive record.
The market has nudged against the home side without turning the fixture on its head. Roma have moved from 2.62 to 2.77, while Inter have shortened from 2.83 to 2.61; the draw has edged from 3.40 to 3.50. That makes Inter marginally better supported than before, but the movement is modest and Roma are not clear outsiders. For me, the slight home drift simply reinforces the need for caution rather than changing the pick. Roma at the Olimpico still have the marginal statistical edge, while BTTS and over 2.5 goals remain aligned with the likely 2-1 script.
Roma to win

Roma
2 : 1
Inter




Match already started.
This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.


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Goals Scored
2.8
Goals Conceded
0.6
Goals difference
+11
Avg. goals per match
3.4
FT, 14 Sept 2026
0
2
FT, 5 Sept 2026
2
1
FT, 31 Aug 2026
0
4
FT, 24 Aug 2026
4
0
FT, 24 May 2026
0
2
Based on recent previews and team reports.

Roma
Confirmed: 3-4-2-1
🧤Goalkeeper:
Mile Svilar
🛡️Back line:
Gianluca Mancini, Leonardo Balerdi, Mario Hermoso
⚙️ Midfield:
Wesley, Bryan Cristante, Manu Koné, Nahuel Molina
⚡ Attack:
Paulo Dybala, Matías Soulé, Donyell Malen

Inter
Confirmed: 3-5-2
🧤Goalkeeper:
Josep Martínez
🛡️Back line:
Yann Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni
⚙️ Midfield:
Andy Diouf, Nicolò Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Curtis Jones, Federico Dimarco
⚡ Attack:
Marcus Thuram, Lautaro Martínez







👉
Roma have drifted from 2.62 to 2.77, suggesting slightly weaker home support, though the change is not large enough to overturn the original lean.
👉
Inter have shortened from 2.83 to 2.61, indicating some late backing for the visitors in what remains a closely priced match.
👉
The draw has moved from 3.40 to 3.50, while BTTS Yes shortened from 1.61 to 1.45, reinforcing expectations of goals rather than a cautious stalemate.