Noxwin Logo

La Liga

•

Round 12

Sevilla

Sevilla

15:00

6th Nov 2026

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

Pick
Not Started
Background Image

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés Predictions & Betting Tips

Fact checker Janne Kouva

Calendar icon29 Oct 2026

Sevilla's stronger league return and recent home win give them the edge over an Alavés side without a victory in five.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Sevilla are narrow home favourites against Deportivo Alavés, and I lean toward a measured home win at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. The hosts are five points better off after 10 matches and come in from a 2-0 victory over Osasuna, while Alavés are without a win in five. My match prediction is Sevilla to win, most plausibly 2-0. The pricing and recent outputs make the goals angles worth a closer look below.

The market makes Sevilla the clear but not dominant side at 2.09, with the draw at 3.34 and Deportivo Alavés at 3.76. That is a fair reflection of a fixture between sixth and seventh, although the points gap is meaningful: Sevilla have 17 from 10 matches, compared with Alavés' 12. I do not need to overstate the home case. Sevilla's last five have produced two wins, a draw and two defeats, but the latest 2-0 home result against Osasuna is the cleanest relevant reference point for this spot.

Alavés arrive on a five-game winless run of two draws and three losses. They have scored three goals in that period, with their two listed away games ending in a 2-1 defeat at Celta de Vigo and a 0-0 draw at Athletic Club. That does not eliminate their chance of taking something, especially with the draw priced just above 3.30, but it does leave Sevilla with the more convincing route to three points.

I am leaning into the home win rather than forcing a bigger statement from the price. Sevilla have been open at times, conceding 10 across their last five, so this is not a high-confidence call. Still, Alavés' recent output points more naturally toward a contained match. Both Teams To Score - No at 1.82 and Under 2.5 Goals at 1.68 fit the 2-0 score lean, with Sevilla's 2.09 win price the primary position.

Sevilla are the likelier winners at home, with a controlled low-scoring result the preferred match pattern.

Key reasons

  • Sevilla sit sixth on 17 points, five points ahead of seventh-placed Deportivo Alavés after 10 matches.
  • Sevilla have won two of their last five league matches, including a 2-0 home victory over Osasuna in their most recent outing.
  • Deportivo Alavés are winless across their last five league matches, scoring only three goals in that sequence.

Risk factors

  • Sevilla have conceded 10 goals across their last five matches, including three against both Real Madrid and Levante.
  • The 1X2 prices keep the draw and an Alavés upset within a competitive range rather than making Sevilla overwhelming favourites.
Sevilla

Sevilla

2 : 0

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés
Sevilla to win
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: No
22Bet
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Do you agree with my prediction?

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Sevilla to win
    21
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Sevilla to win
    20

What Is Your Prediction?

Sevilla
Deportivo Alavés

Loading…


See what others think 👇
Sevilla to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Deportivo Alavés to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

La Liga Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
10
9
0
1
40
11
+29
27
2
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
10
8
1
1
20
8
+12
25
3
Real MadridReal Madrid
10
8
0
2
25
10
+15
24
4
Real BetisReal Betis
10
6
2
2
16
14
+2
20
5
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
10
6
1
3
19
18
+1
19
6
SevillaSevilla
10
5
2
3
16
16
0
17
7
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
10
3
3
4
14
11
+3
12
8
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
10
2
6
2
10
7
+3
12
9
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
9
3
3
3
12
9
+3
12
10
VillarrealVillarreal
10
3
3
4
15
14
+1
12
11
Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
10
2
5
3
13
13
0
11
12
OsasunaOsasuna
10
3
2
5
10
20
-10
11
13
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
10
3
2
5
15
26
-11
11
14
LevanteLevante
10
2
4
4
16
19
-3
10
15
ElcheElche
10
2
4
4
14
17
-3
10
16
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
9
2
3
4
12
20
-8
9
17
GetafeGetafe
10
2
3
5
5
15
-10
9
18
EspanyolEspanyol
10
2
2
6
12
14
-2
8
19
ValenciaValencia
10
1
3
6
7
17
-10
6
20
MálagaMálaga
10
0
5
5
7
19
-12
5

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

16

1.6

Goals Conceded

16

1.6

Goals difference

0

Avg. goals per match

3.2

Last 5 Matches

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 26 Oct 2026

SevillaSevilla

2

OsasunaOsasuna

0

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 18 Oct 2026

Real MadridReal Madrid

4

SevillaSevilla

1

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 12 Oct 2026

LevanteLevante

3

SevillaSevilla

3

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 19 Sept 2026

SevillaSevilla

1

FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona

3

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 16 Sept 2026

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña

0

SevillaSevilla

1

Best Odds

Sevilla to win
Marathonbet
Draw
Marathonbet
Deportivo Alavés to win
Marathonbet
Over 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
22Bet

What these Odds Say

👉

Sevilla's 2.09 maximum price implies roughly a 47.8% raw chance, making them favourites without pricing a one-sided contest.

👉

The 3.34 draw and 3.76 away prices leave substantial combined probability for Sevilla not to win, which supports medium rather than high confidence.

👉

Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.68 versus 2.21 for Over 2.5, while BTTS No at 1.82 is also marginally shorter than BTTS Yes at 1.95.

Newsletter gift
Unlock Exclusive Casino Deals!

Be the first to unlock exclusive deals & free spins.

By subscribing you agree with