

La Liga
•Round 12

Sevilla
15:00
6th Nov 2026

Deportivo Alavés
Sevilla to win


Author
Fact checker Janne Kouva
Sevilla's stronger league return and recent home win give them the edge over an Alavés side without a victory in five.
Sevilla are narrow home favourites against Deportivo Alavés, and I lean toward a measured home win at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. The hosts are five points better off after 10 matches and come in from a 2-0 victory over Osasuna, while Alavés are without a win in five. My match prediction is Sevilla to win, most plausibly 2-0. The pricing and recent outputs make the goals angles worth a closer look below.
The market makes Sevilla the clear but not dominant side at 2.09, with the draw at 3.34 and Deportivo Alavés at 3.76. That is a fair reflection of a fixture between sixth and seventh, although the points gap is meaningful: Sevilla have 17 from 10 matches, compared with Alavés' 12. I do not need to overstate the home case. Sevilla's last five have produced two wins, a draw and two defeats, but the latest 2-0 home result against Osasuna is the cleanest relevant reference point for this spot.
Alavés arrive on a five-game winless run of two draws and three losses. They have scored three goals in that period, with their two listed away games ending in a 2-1 defeat at Celta de Vigo and a 0-0 draw at Athletic Club. That does not eliminate their chance of taking something, especially with the draw priced just above 3.30, but it does leave Sevilla with the more convincing route to three points.
I am leaning into the home win rather than forcing a bigger statement from the price. Sevilla have been open at times, conceding 10 across their last five, so this is not a high-confidence call. Still, Alavés' recent output points more naturally toward a contained match. Both Teams To Score - No at 1.82 and Under 2.5 Goals at 1.68 fit the 2-0 score lean, with Sevilla's 2.09 win price the primary position.
Sevilla are the likelier winners at home, with a controlled low-scoring result the preferred match pattern.

Sevilla
2 : 0
Deportivo Alavés




This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.


What Is Your Prediction?


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Goals Scored
1.6
Goals Conceded
1.6
Goals difference
0
Avg. goals per match
3.2
FT, 26 Oct 2026
2
0
FT, 18 Oct 2026
4
1
FT, 12 Oct 2026
3
3
FT, 19 Sept 2026
1
3
FT, 16 Sept 2026
0
1







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Sevilla's 2.09 maximum price implies roughly a 47.8% raw chance, making them favourites without pricing a one-sided contest.
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The 3.34 draw and 3.76 away prices leave substantial combined probability for Sevilla not to win, which supports medium rather than high confidence.
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Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.68 versus 2.21 for Over 2.5, while BTTS No at 1.82 is also marginally shorter than BTTS Yes at 1.95.