

La Liga
•Round 10

Sevilla
16:00
26th Oct 2026

Osasuna
Sevilla to win


Author
Fact checker Daniela Stoeva
Sevilla's stronger league position and Osasuna's difficult defensive record make the home win the preferred 1X2 angle.
Sevilla are favourites for this La Liga meeting with Osasuna, and I think the home side have the better case despite a rough latest defeat at Real Madrid. Osasuna's away results have been especially loose, while Sevilla have found the net in four of their last five. My prediction is a Sevilla win, with goals at both ends. Here's why the home side get the nod.
Here's the thing: Sevilla's recent 4-1 loss at Real Madrid looks ugly, but it shouldn't erase the wider picture. They are sixth after nine matches with 14 points, compared with Osasuna's 11 points in 10th, and the home side have won two of their last five. Those wins came with clean sheets against Deportivo La Coruña and Valencia, which shows there is a more controlled version of Sevilla in this recent sample. I think returning to their own ground gives them the better route to settle this one.
Osasuna are not a side I'd write off completely. They beat Racing Santander 2-0 last time out and have scored in three of their last five matches. The concern is what has happened away from home: a 5-2 defeat at Real Betis and a 4-0 loss at Atlético Madrid account for nine goals conceded in their last two road games. Overall, Osasuna have allowed 18 goals in nine league fixtures, while Sevilla have conceded 16, so neither defence makes a clean-sheet call especially appealing.
That is why I land on Sevilla rather than an emphatic home statement. The 1X2 price makes them the clear favourite, but Sevilla's recent results include losses to Barcelona and Real Madrid plus a 3-3 draw at Levante. Osasuna can score, and Sevilla have conceded in three of their last five. For me, the sensible read is a narrow home success rather than a comfortable one, with 2-1 the most plausible scoreline.
Sevilla are the likelier winners at home, though Osasuna have enough recent scoring evidence to keep it competitive.

Sevilla
2 : 1
Osasuna




This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.


What Is Your Prediction?


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Goals Scored
1.6
Goals Conceded
1.8
Goals difference
-2
Avg. goals per match
3.3
FT, 18 Oct 2026
4
1
FT, 12 Oct 2026
3
3
FT, 19 Sept 2026
1
3
FT, 16 Sept 2026
0
1
FT, 11 Sept 2026
1
0







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Sevilla's 1.97 max price implies a raw probability of about 50.8%, making them the clear 1X2 favourite.
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The draw is priced at 3.50 and Osasuna at 4.00, implying a competitive fixture rather than an overwhelming home mismatch.
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Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.12 versus 1.74 for under, with the pricing marginally favouring a lower-scoring outcome.