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La Liga

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Round 10

Sevilla

Sevilla

16:00

26th Oct 2026

Osasuna

Osasuna

Pick
Not Started
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Sevilla vs Osasuna - H2H, Lineups, Betting Tips & AI Predictions

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon20 Oct 2026

Sevilla's stronger league position and Osasuna's difficult defensive record make the home win the preferred 1X2 angle.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Sevilla are favourites for this La Liga meeting with Osasuna, and I think the home side have the better case despite a rough latest defeat at Real Madrid. Osasuna's away results have been especially loose, while Sevilla have found the net in four of their last five. My prediction is a Sevilla win, with goals at both ends. Here's why the home side get the nod.

Here's the thing: Sevilla's recent 4-1 loss at Real Madrid looks ugly, but it shouldn't erase the wider picture. They are sixth after nine matches with 14 points, compared with Osasuna's 11 points in 10th, and the home side have won two of their last five. Those wins came with clean sheets against Deportivo La Coruña and Valencia, which shows there is a more controlled version of Sevilla in this recent sample. I think returning to their own ground gives them the better route to settle this one.

Osasuna are not a side I'd write off completely. They beat Racing Santander 2-0 last time out and have scored in three of their last five matches. The concern is what has happened away from home: a 5-2 defeat at Real Betis and a 4-0 loss at Atlético Madrid account for nine goals conceded in their last two road games. Overall, Osasuna have allowed 18 goals in nine league fixtures, while Sevilla have conceded 16, so neither defence makes a clean-sheet call especially appealing.

That is why I land on Sevilla rather than an emphatic home statement. The 1X2 price makes them the clear favourite, but Sevilla's recent results include losses to Barcelona and Real Madrid plus a 3-3 draw at Levante. Osasuna can score, and Sevilla have conceded in three of their last five. For me, the sensible read is a narrow home success rather than a comfortable one, with 2-1 the most plausible scoreline.

Sevilla are the likelier winners at home, though Osasuna have enough recent scoring evidence to keep it competitive.

Key reasons

  • Sevilla sit sixth on 14 points, three points and four places above 10th-placed Osasuna after nine matches.
  • Osasuna have conceded 18 league goals in nine games and allowed nine across their last three away fixtures.
  • Sevilla have scored in four of their last five matches, while Osasuna have scored in three of theirs.

Risk factors

  • Sevilla have taken only four points from their last three matches, conceding 10 goals in that spell.
  • Osasuna arrive after a 2-0 win over Racing Santander, so their latest result offers a platform for an away response.
Sevilla

Sevilla

2 : 1

Osasuna

Osasuna
Sevilla to win
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Do you agree with my prediction?

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Sevilla to win
    21
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Sevilla to win
    21

What Is Your Prediction?

Sevilla
Osasuna

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See what others think 👇
Sevilla to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Osasuna to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

La Liga Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
9
9
0
0
39
9
+30
27
2
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
9
7
1
1
19
8
+11
22
3
Real MadridReal Madrid
9
7
0
2
23
9
+14
21
4
Real BetisReal Betis
9
6
1
2
16
14
+2
19
5
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
9
5
1
3
17
17
0
16
6
SevillaSevilla
9
4
2
3
14
16
-2
14
7
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
9
3
2
4
13
10
+3
11
8
Celta de VigoCelta de Vigo
9
2
5
2
10
7
+3
11
9
Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
9
2
5
2
13
12
+1
11
10
OsasunaOsasuna
9
3
2
4
10
18
-8
11
11
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
7
2
3
2
7
6
+1
9
12
VillarrealVillarreal
9
2
3
4
13
13
0
9
13
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
8
2
3
3
12
17
-5
9
14
GetafeGetafe
9
2
3
4
5
11
-6
9
15
EspanyolEspanyol
9
2
2
5
11
12
-1
8
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
9
2
2
5
13
25
-12
8
17
LevanteLevante
8
1
4
3
12
16
-4
7
18
ElcheElche
9
1
4
4
11
17
-6
7
19
ValenciaValencia
9
1
3
5
6
15
-9
6
20
MálagaMálaga
9
0
4
5
6
18
-12
4

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

14

1.6

Goals Conceded

16

1.8

Goals difference

-2

Avg. goals per match

3.3

Last 5 Matches

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 18 Oct 2026

Real MadridReal Madrid

4

SevillaSevilla

1

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 12 Oct 2026

LevanteLevante

3

SevillaSevilla

3

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 19 Sept 2026

SevillaSevilla

1

FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona

3

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 16 Sept 2026

Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña

0

SevillaSevilla

1

La LigaLa Liga

FT, 11 Sept 2026

SevillaSevilla

1

ValenciaValencia

0

Best Odds

Sevilla to win
Marathonbet
Draw
Marathonbet
Osasuna to win
Marathonbet
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
22Bet

What these Odds Say

👉

Sevilla's 1.97 max price implies a raw probability of about 50.8%, making them the clear 1X2 favourite.

👉

The draw is priced at 3.50 and Osasuna at 4.00, implying a competitive fixture rather than an overwhelming home mismatch.

👉

Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.12 versus 1.74 for under, with the pricing marginally favouring a lower-scoring outcome.

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