

Premier League
•Round 9

Tottenham Hotspur
13:30
31st Oct 2026

Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur to win


Author
Fact checker Janne Kouva
The market gives Tottenham a strong home edge, and Palace's 17 goals conceded offers the hosts a route to a narrow win.
Tottenham are short at 1.70 to beat Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, even though neither side has made a convincing start to the league season. I still lean towards a Tottenham win, with Palace capable of making it uncomfortable and getting on the scoresheet themselves. The recent goal patterns make this feel more interesting than a routine home-favourite call, so there is plenty to unpack below.
Here's the thing: the table does not make Tottenham look like a side to trust blindly. They are 16th with six points from seven matches, while Crystal Palace sit 14th on seven. Tottenham's last five league results contain three draws and two defeats, and they have scored only three times across that run. That is the main reason I would keep the confidence at medium rather than treating 1.70 as a straightforward price.
Still, I think the home win is the most logical 1X2 angle. The market places Tottenham well ahead of Palace, who are available at 5.25, and Palace have been especially vulnerable at the back across the season. Their 17 goals conceded is the higher total of the two, while their latest result was a 5-0 defeat at Brighton. I would not overreact to one match, but it fits a broader defensive picture that gives Tottenham a real opening.
Palace are not just here to sit quietly, though. They have scored nine league goals, compared with Tottenham's six, and their last five include a 3-1 win over Nottingham Forest and a 3-2 victory at Fulham. That is why both teams to score appeals more than a Tottenham clean sheet. For me, the likely pattern is a competitive game in which Tottenham's home-favourite status eventually matters, but Palace make them work for it. A 2-1 home win is the scoreline I keep coming back to: plausible, aligned with the goal prices, and respectful of both teams' inconsistency.
Tottenham Hotspur can edge an open home contest, although the recent results leave little room for overconfidence.

Tottenham Hotspur
2 : 1
Crystal Palace




This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.


What Is Your Prediction?


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Goals Scored
0.9
Goals Conceded
1.4
Goals difference
-4
Avg. goals per match
2.3
FT, 10 Oct 2026
1
1
FT, 19 Sept 2026
2
3
FT, 12 Sept 2026
0
0
FT, 5 Sept 2026
0
0
FT, 29 Aug 2026
0
2







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Tottenham's 1.70 price implies roughly a 58.8% raw win probability, making them a clear but not overwhelming favourite.
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Crystal Palace at 5.25 imply about 19.0%, while the 4.20 draw price implies around 23.8%, leaving the away upset as a live secondary outcome.
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BTTS Yes at 1.66 and Over 2.5 Goals at 1.64 both indicate that the available prices expect goals from this matchup.