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Serie A

Round 4

Venezia

Venezia

14:45

11th Sept 2026

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Pick
Not Started
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Venezia vs Fiorentina Betting Preview: Expert Tips, Odds & Predictions

Fact checker Janne Kouva

Calendar icon31 Aug 2026

Neither side has scored in two league matches, and the evenly priced 1X2 market supports a cautious draw lean.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Here's the thing: Venezia and Fiorentina arrive at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo with zero points and zero league goals after two rounds. Venezia have conceded four, Fiorentina seven, so neither defence gets a free pass either. Still, with the 1X2 market split almost evenly, my match prediction is a low-scoring draw. There's more to unpack than the table suggests below.

This is a difficult one to get overly confident about, because the early evidence points in two directions at once. Venezia are 19th after two defeats, having lost 2-0 at home to Lecce and 2-0 away to AC Milan. Fiorentina sit directly below them in 20th, also on two losses, after a 4-0 defeat at Roma and a 3-0 home loss to Frosinone. The shared theme is obvious: neither team has found a goal yet. For me, that makes a measured game the starting point rather than an automatic expectation of a shootout.

The catch is that Fiorentina's two latest defeats have brought seven goals conceded, while Venezia have shipped four, so either side is capable of making this uncomfortable for itself. Fiorentina's broader five-match sequence does contain a win at Juventus and draws with Atalanta and Genoa, which gives their recent record a little more substance than the opening two results alone. But I can't stretch that into a strong away-win case when the current league start has been so blunt.

The prices tell you this is close: Venezia and Fiorentina are both available at 3.10, while the draw is 3.38. I'm happy to oppose the urge to force a winner from that setup. A 0-0 draw is my correct-score lean, with BTTS No and Under 2.5 Goals the more natural supporting angles. It's a low-confidence 1X2 call, but the goal-based case is clearer.

a low-scoring draw looks the most plausible outcome between two sides still searching for their first league points.

Key reasons

  • Venezia have lost their opening two Serie A matches without scoring, conceding four goals.
  • Fiorentina have also started with two defeats and no goals scored, while conceding seven.
  • The 1X2 prices are level on Venezia and Fiorentina at 3.10, with little separating the teams in the market.

Risk factors

  • Both teams have already conceded heavily across two league games, so an early goal could open the match up.
  • BTTS Yes is priced shorter than No, indicating the available prices give both sides a credible scoring chance.
Venezia

Venezia

0 : 0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina
Draw
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: No
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Do you agree with my prediction?

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Fiorentina to win
    23
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Draw
    00

What Is Your Prediction?

Venezia
Fiorentina

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See what others think 👇
Venezia to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Fiorentina to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Serie A Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
InterInter
2
2
0
0
5
1
+4
6
2
AC MilanAC Milan
2
2
0
0
4
1
+3
6
3
JuventusJuventus
2
2
0
0
3
0
+3
6
4
LazioLazio
2
2
0
0
2
0
+2
6
5
UdineseUdinese
2
1
1
0
4
3
+1
4
6
ComoComo
2
1
1
0
3
2
+1
4
7
AtalantaAtalanta
1
1
0
0
2
1
+1
3
8
RomaRoma
1
1
0
0
4
0
+4
3
9
FrosinoneFrosinone
2
1
0
1
3
1
+2
3
10
LecceLecce
1
1
0
0
2
0
+2
3
11
NapoliNapoli
2
1
0
1
3
2
+1
3
12
CagliariCagliari
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
13
SassuoloSassuolo
2
1
0
1
3
3
0
3
14
BolognaBologna
1
0
0
1
0
1
-1
0
15
TorinoTorino
2
0
0
2
2
4
-2
0
16
ParmaParma
2
0
0
2
0
3
-3
0
17
GenoaGenoa
2
0
0
2
0
3
-3
0
18
MonzaMonza
2
0
0
2
3
7
-4
0
19
VeneziaVenezia
2
0
0
2
0
4
-4
0
20
FiorentinaFiorentina
2
0
0
2
0
7
-7
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

0

0.0

Goals Conceded

4

2.0

Goals difference

-4

Avg. goals per match

2.0

Last 5 Matches

Serie ASerie A

FT, 28 Aug 2026

AC MilanAC Milan

2

VeneziaVenezia

0

Serie ASerie A

FT, 23 Aug 2026

VeneziaVenezia

0

LecceLecce

2

Best Odds

Venezia to win
10Bet
Draw
Marathonbet
Fiorentina to win
10Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
10Bet
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
bet365

What these Odds Say

👉

Venezia and Fiorentina are both priced at 3.10, equivalent to identical raw implied probabilities of roughly 32.3%.

👉

The draw at 3.38 carries a raw implied probability of about 29.6%, keeping the 1X2 market tightly balanced.

👉

Under 2.5 Goals is available at 1.92 versus 5.50 for Over 2.5, making the supplied goal-line prices strongly tilted towards a restrained total.

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