

Serie A
•Round 5

Venezia
Finished
0 : 2
(HT 0 - 0)
19th Sept 2026, 14:45

Lazio
Lazio to win


Author
Fact checker Daniela Stoeva
Lazio remain unbeaten after four games while Venezia have lost all four, and the away price has shortened sharply from 2.90 to 2.01.
Lazio to win remains the call for Venezia versus Lazio, but the market has moved decisively: the away price is now 2.01 after opening at 2.90. Lazio are unbeaten through four matches, while Venezia have four defeats from four. Starting-XI data is supplied, although the players are not reliably assigned to either side, so it cannot alter the pre-match view. The late pricing is worth unpacking.
The original Lazio-away lean holds, and the latest standings strengthen rather than weaken it. Lazio sit fifth with 10 points from four games, scoring six and conceding three; Venezia are bottom with no points, four scored and 11 allowed. That is a clear enough contrast to retain Lazio to win, with 0-2 still the sole correct-score lean. Venezia have at least scored twice in each of their last two losses, so this is not a case for treating a home goal as impossible, but they have not yet converted that output into a point.
There is lineup information in the feed, but every named starter is labelled as belonging to an unknown team. That makes it unsuitable for team-specific matchup analysis and, crucially, provides no clear evidence of a decisive absence that would justify overturning the published view. The prediction therefore stays put.
The meaningful update is in the prices. Lazio have shortened from 2.90 to 2.01, a substantial move that indicates much stronger market support for the away side. It removes some of the value that existed at the earlier number, but it does not undermine the likelihood case. Conversely, BTTS No has drifted from 2.05 to 2.25 and Under 2.5 goals from 1.90 to 2.15. The market is now more open to a game with goals, which is the main challenge to the supporting angles. Lazio to win remains the cleanest position; the goal-related picks are less convincing at these updated prices.
Lazio to win

Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio




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Goals Scored
0.8
Goals Conceded
2.6
Goals difference
-9
Avg. goals per match
3.4
FT, 11 Sept 2026
2
4
FT, 6 Sept 2026
3
2
FT, 28 Aug 2026
2
0
FT, 23 Aug 2026
0
2
Based on recent previews and team reports.

Venezia
Confirmed: 3-5-2
🧤Goalkeeper:
Filip Stanković
🛡️Back line:
Joël Schingtienne, Juan Jesus, Matías Moreno
⚙️ Midfield:
Antoine Hainaut, Kike Pérez, Simon Sohm, Thórir Jóhann Helgason, Thierry Correia
⚡ Attack:
John Yeboah, Akor Adams

Lazio
Confirmed: 4-3-3
🧤Goalkeeper:
Christos Mandas
🛡️Back line:
Romano Floriani Mussolini, Josip Sutalo, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares
⚙️ Midfield:
Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor
⚡ Attack:
Matteo Cancellieri, Tijjani Noslin, Mattia Zaccagni







👉
Lazio have shortened from 2.90 to 2.01, a major move towards the away side that signals substantially stronger market support.
👉
BTTS No has drifted from 2.05 to 2.25, implying the market is less convinced that Venezia will be held scoreless.
👉
Under 2.5 goals has moved from 1.90 to 2.15, indicating reduced confidence in the low-scoring pattern behind the original 0-2 lean.