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Serie A

Round 5

Venezia

Venezia

14:45

19th Sept 2026

Lazio

Lazio

Pick
Not Started
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Venezia vs Lazio Best Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon08 Sep 2026

Lazio's perfect start and far tighter defensive record give them the more convincing route to an away win.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

Venezia versus Lazio is a pretty clear early-season form test at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. Lazio arrive with nine points from three games and only one goal conceded, while Venezia have lost all three and shipped seven. My match prediction is a Lazio away win, most likely without a wild scoreline. The prices are close enough to keep this interesting, though, so there is a little more to unpack below.

Here's the thing: the table tells a straightforward story after three rounds. Lazio are third with a perfect nine points, four goals scored and one allowed. Venezia are 18th, still waiting for a point after three defeats, with a 2-7 goal record. I think that contrast makes Lazio the right side to lean towards, even if the away price at 2.90 shows this is not being framed as a formality.

Venezia's recent results have offered little comfort. They lost 2-0 at AC Milan, then 2-0 at home to Lecce, before a 3-2 defeat at Frosinone. There was at least some attacking output in that latest game, but conceding three means the bigger problem remains at the other end. Lazio, meanwhile, started with 1-0 wins over Bologna and Genoa, following a 2-1 home win against Pisa in May. That recent sequence supports a team capable of taking control without needing a shootout.

For me, Lazio to win is the main angle and Venezia 0-2 Lazio is the most plausible score lean. The supporting bets follow the same logic: no on both teams to score and under 2.5 goals. Lazio's defensive start is the key evidence, although the BTTS market does rate goals at both ends as the likelier outcome. That is the obvious counterargument, and it keeps confidence at medium rather than turning this into a stronger call.

Lazio have the stronger early-season case to take the points in Venice.

Key reasons

  • Lazio have opened with three wins from three, scoring four times and conceding only once.
  • Venezia sit 18th after three defeats, with two goals scored and seven conceded.
  • Venezia have lost both home and away in their opening three Serie A fixtures, while Lazio won their first two league matches this season.

Risk factors

  • The 1X2 prices make Lazio only a narrow away favourite, so the market expects a competitive fixture.
  • Both teams to score is priced shorter than no, which goes against the clean-sheet angle.
Venezia

Venezia

0 : 2

Lazio

Lazio
Lazio to win
bwin
Both teams to score: No
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Do you agree with my prediction?

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Lazio to win
    02
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Lazio to win
    02

What Is Your Prediction?

Venezia
Lazio

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See what others think 👇
Venezia to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Lazio to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Serie A Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
RomaRoma
3
3
0
0
10
1
+9
9
2
InterInter
3
3
0
0
8
3
+5
9
3
LazioLazio
3
3
0
0
4
1
+3
9
4
AC MilanAC Milan
3
2
1
0
5
2
+3
7
5
JuventusJuventus
3
2
1
0
4
1
+3
7
6
ComoComo
3
2
1
0
7
3
+4
7
7
FrosinoneFrosinone
3
2
0
1
6
3
+3
6
8
AtalantaAtalanta
3
2
0
1
4
3
+1
6
9
CagliariCagliari
3
2
0
1
2
1
+1
6
10
UdineseUdinese
3
1
1
1
5
5
0
4
11
SassuoloSassuolo
3
1
1
1
5
5
0
4
12
NapoliNapoli
3
1
0
2
5
5
0
3
13
TorinoTorino
3
1
0
2
4
5
-1
3
14
LecceLecce
3
1
0
2
2
5
-3
3
15
ParmaParma
3
0
1
2
1
4
-3
1
16
MonzaMonza
3
0
1
2
4
8
-4
1
17
BolognaBologna
3
0
1
2
2
4
-2
1
18
VeneziaVenezia
3
0
0
3
2
7
-5
0
19
GenoaGenoa
3
0
0
3
1
7
-6
0
20
FiorentinaFiorentina
3
0
0
3
1
9
-8
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

2

0.7

Goals Conceded

7

2.3

Goals difference

-5

Avg. goals per match

3.0

Last 5 Matches

Serie ASerie A

FT, 6 Sept 2026

FrosinoneFrosinone

3

VeneziaVenezia

2

Serie ASerie A

FT, 28 Aug 2026

AC MilanAC Milan

2

VeneziaVenezia

0

Serie ASerie A

FT, 23 Aug 2026

VeneziaVenezia

0

LecceLecce

2

Best Odds

Venezia to win
bet365
Draw
Marathonbet
Lazio to win
bwin
Over 2.5 Goals
bwin
Under 2.5 Goals
Marathonbet
Both teams to score: Yes
bet365
Both teams to score: No
bet365

What these Odds Say

👉

Lazio's 2.90 max price makes them the marginal 1X2 favourite ahead of Venezia at 3.00, with the draw at 3.40.

👉

Both teams to score Yes is priced at 1.70 versus 2.05 for No, indicating the market gives the scoring-both-ends scenario more weight.

👉

The 2.5-goal line is tightly priced, with Under at 1.90 and Over at 1.95, suggesting no strong consensus on the total.

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