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Bundesliga

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Round 4

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Finished

0 : 1

(HT 0 - 0)

19th Sept 2026, 12:30

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

WIN
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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund - H2H, Lineups, Betting Tips & AI Predictions

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon08 Sep 2026

Dortmund remain unbeaten after three league wins, and their away price has only edged from 2.91 to 2.80.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

I'm still leaning towards Borussia Dortmund in what looks set to be a properly open game at MHPArena. Dortmund arrive with three wins from three, while Stuttgart have already scored six and conceded eight in the league. A starter list is available, although the supplied lineup mapping does not assign players to either side. Dortmund's price has moved only slightly from 2.91 to 2.80, so the original call stands. Here's why the goals angle still matters.

The original Dortmund lean still holds. Their league start is now three wins from three, with eight scored and only two conceded, while Stuttgart sit on three points from three matches after scoring six and conceding eight. Dortmund have already shown they can win an open away contest through the 3-2 result at Hoffenheim, and that feels relevant against a Stuttgart side whose latest three league matches have finished 2-1, 4-1 and 5-1.

The supplied lineup data contains a full group of starters, but every player is marked as unknown rather than being assigned to Stuttgart or Dortmund. That means there is no reliable team-mapped confirmation in the data to justify changing the published view. Nothing in the available lineup information points to a decisive absence from the original logic, so this remains an away-win lean rather than a late overhaul.

The odds move is modest rather than dramatic. Dortmund have shortened from 2.91 to 2.80, which suggests a little more support for the away side but not a market reversal. Stuttgart remain priced at 2.55 and the draw at 3.95, underlining how competitive the 1X2 remains. That is why the official pick stays at medium confidence.

For me, the cleaner supporting angles are still goals. Both Teams To Score has barely changed, moving from 1.33 to 1.35, while Over 2.5 has shortened from 1.37 to 1.35. Those prices continue to reflect the recent scoring evidence. Dortmund can edge it, but Stuttgart have enough recent output to make a 2-3 type of game the more believable script.

Borussia Dortmund to win

Key reasons

  • Dortmund have won both Bundesliga matches this season, scoring five goals and conceding two.
  • Stuttgart's two league games have produced 11 total goals, including a 4-1 home win over FC Köln.
  • Both sides scored at least twice in four of their respective last five listed matches.

Risk factors

  • Stuttgart have recent home wins over FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, both with at least three goals scored.
  • The 1X2 prices make Stuttgart the slight home favourite, so Dortmund are not being asked to overcome a soft market position.
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

2 : 3

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund to win
bet365
Both teams to score: Yes
WilliamHill
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Do you agree with my prediction?
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AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/Draw
    22
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/Away
    23

What Is Your Prediction?

VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund

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VfB Stuttgart to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Borussia Dortmund to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
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Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Bundesliga Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
4
4
0
0
9
2
+7
12
2
FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München
4
3
1
0
14
2
+12
10
3
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
4
3
1
0
12
3
+9
10
4
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
4
2
1
1
11
6
+5
7
5
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
4
2
1
1
10
5
+5
7
6
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
4
2
1
1
10
6
+4
7
7
ElversbergElversberg
4
2
1
1
8
7
+1
7
8
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
4
2
1
1
8
8
0
7
9
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
4
2
0
2
9
5
+4
6
10
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
4
1
2
1
9
10
-1
5
11
Schalke 04Schalke 04
4
1
2
1
3
4
-1
5
12
PaderbornPaderborn
4
1
1
2
3
5
-2
4
13
FC KölnFC Köln
4
1
1
2
6
9
-3
4
14
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
4
1
0
3
7
10
-3
3
15
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
4
1
0
3
6
9
-3
3
16
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
4
1
0
3
2
13
-11
3
17
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
4
0
1
3
4
17
-13
1
18
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
4
0
0
4
6
16
-10
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

6

1.5

Goals Conceded

9

2.3

Goals difference

-3

Avg. goals per match

3.8

Last 5 Matches

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 12 Sept 2026

TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim

2

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

1

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 4 Sept 2026

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

4

FC KölnFC Köln

1

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 28 Aug 2026

FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München

5

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

1

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 16 May 2026

Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt

2

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

2

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 9 May 2026

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

3

Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen

1

Likely Starting Line-ups & Team News

Based on recent previews and team reports.

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Confirmed: 3-4-2-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Fabian Bredlow

🛡️Back line:

Finn Jeltsch, Jeff Chabot, Maximilian Mittelstädt

⚙️ Midfield:

Josha Vagnoman, Grischa Prömel, Angelo Stiller, Chris Führich

⚡ Attack:

Bilal El Khannouss, Deniz Undav, Ermedin Demirovic

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Confirmed: 3-4-2-1

🧤Goalkeeper:

Gregor Kobel

🛡️Back line:

Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck

⚙️ Midfield:

Julian Ryerson, Joey Veerman, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson

⚡ Attack:

Ethan Nwaneri, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy

Best Odds

VfB Stuttgart to win
Interwetten
Draw
Dafabet
Borussia Dortmund to win
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
bet365
Both teams to score: Yes
WilliamHill
Both teams to score: No
bet365

What these Odds Say

👉

Dortmund have shortened from 2.91 to 2.80, indicating mild additional support rather than a meaningful change to the away-win case.

👉

Both Teams To Score Yes has moved from 1.33 to 1.35, so pricing is broadly stable around expectations of goals for both sides.

👉

Over 2.5 Goals has shortened from 1.37 to 1.35, a small move that maintains the market's confidence in an open match.

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