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Bundesliga

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Round 7

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

14:30

23rd Oct 2026

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Pick
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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Betting Tips, Odds & AI Predictions

Janne Kouva

Author

Janne KouvaVerified author

Fact checker Daniela Stoeva

Calendar icon20 Oct 2026

Stuttgart have the stronger points return and face a Gladbach team carrying five consecutive defeats.

X Prediction Icon

Prediction

VfB Stuttgart are clear favourites at home to Borussia Mönchengladbach, and the table explains most of it. Stuttgart have six points from six matches; Gladbach are bottom on zero and have lost each of their last five. My prediction is a Stuttgart win, with goals likely at both ends given Gladbach's defensive record. The market is pricing a decisive home response-here's where the risk sits.

The 1X2 market makes Stuttgart a pronounced favourite at 1.41, which converts to roughly a 71% raw implied probability. That is a short number, but Gladbach's six-match league record gives it a clear basis: no points, 20 goals conceded and a goal difference of minus 12. Their last five results have all been defeats, with 17 conceded. I would rather side with the home win than try to force an away price of 7.00 against that sequence.

There is still a reason not to treat Stuttgart as automatic. Their own last five contains three losses, including a 1-0 defeat at Hamburger SV last time out, and they have only eight league goals overall. But their home evidence is more encouraging: they beat FC Köln 4-1, while their other listed home match was a narrow 1-0 loss to Borussia Dortmund. For me, that makes Stuttgart the more reliable side in this specific fixture, rather than an untouchable favourite.

Goals are the cleaner supporting angle. Gladbach have scored in four of their past five, including one goal against Hoffenheim and Köln and three against both Mainz and Elversberg. The issue has been stopping anyone: those five games finished with 25 goals in total. Stuttgart's 4-1 win over Köln also shows the upside required for the home side to cover the result. I lean toward a 3-1 type of game: Stuttgart taking control, but Gladbach retaining a credible route to contribute.

VfB Stuttgart are the likelier winners against a Borussia Mönchengladbach side still without a point after six Bundesliga matches.

Key reasons

  • Stuttgart have taken six points from six league matches, while Mönchengladbach are bottom with zero points.
  • Mönchengladbach have lost each of their last five matches and conceded 17 goals across that run.
  • Stuttgart showed their attacking ceiling in a 4-1 home win over FC Köln, while Gladbach have scored in four of their last five defeats.

Risk factors

  • Stuttgart have lost three of their last five matches, including their most recent outing at Hamburger SV.
  • Gladbach have scored eight league goals despite their six defeats, so a clean home win is not the only plausible outcome.
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

3 : 1

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart to win
bwin
Both teams to score: Yes
WilliamHill
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Do you agree with my prediction?

AI Consensus Prediction

This module compares match predictions from leading AI models using the same advanced prompt. Each model analyzes team form, statistics, injuries, head-to-head records, and other key factors before generating a prediction and scoreline. The comparison highlights where models agree or differ.

  • Claude Opus 4.8
    Claude Opus 4.8/VfB Stuttgart to win
    21
  • GPT 5.6
    GPT 5.6/VfB Stuttgart to win
    31

What Is Your Prediction?

VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach

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See what others think 👇
VfB Stuttgart to Win0 Votes
Draw0 Votes
Borussia Mönchengladbach to Win0 Votes
Over 2.50 Votes
Under 2.50 Votes
Both teams to score: Yes0 Votes
Both teams to score: No0 Votes

Bundesliga Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München
6
4
2
0
22
5
+17
14
2
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
6
4
2
0
11
4
+7
14
3
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
6
4
1
1
15
6
+9
13
4
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
6
4
1
1
16
9
+7
13
5
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
6
3
1
2
14
10
+4
10
6
ElversbergElversberg
6
3
1
2
12
11
+1
10
7
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
6
3
0
3
16
11
+5
9
8
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
6
2
3
1
12
12
0
9
9
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
6
3
0
3
6
15
-9
9
10
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
6
2
2
2
16
12
+4
8
11
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
6
2
2
2
10
16
-6
8
12
FC KölnFC Köln
6
2
1
3
8
11
-3
7
13
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
6
2
0
4
8
10
-2
6
14
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
6
2
0
4
11
14
-3
6
15
Schalke 04Schalke 04
6
1
2
3
4
7
-3
5
16
PaderbornPaderborn
6
1
2
3
5
9
-4
5
17
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
6
1
2
3
5
17
-12
5
18
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
6
0
0
6
8
20
-12
0

Goal Stats

Goals Scored

8

1.3

Goals Conceded

10

1.7

Goals difference

-2

Avg. goals per match

3.0

Last 5 Matches

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 17 Oct 2026

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

1

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

0

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 10 Oct 2026

PaderbornPaderborn

0

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

2

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 19 Sept 2026

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

0

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

1

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 12 Sept 2026

TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim

2

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

1

BundesligaBundesliga

FT, 4 Sept 2026

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

4

FC KölnFC Köln

1

Best Odds

VfB Stuttgart to win
bwin
Draw
Dafabet
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win
bet365
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365
Under 2.5 Goals
bet365
Both teams to score: Yes
WilliamHill
Both teams to score: No
WilliamHill

What these Odds Say

👉

Stuttgart's best 1.41 price implies about a 71% raw chance, versus roughly 17% for the draw at 5.80 and 14% for Gladbach at 7.00.

👉

Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.44 is priced as the more likely outcome than No at 2.70, reflecting expectations of a Gladbach goal despite their poor results.

👉

Over 2.5 goals at 1.27 is heavily favoured over Under 2.5 at 3.55, while the 3.5-goal line is more balanced at 1.73 for Over and 2.14 for Under.

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